Jurnal Teknik Industri: Jurnal Keilmuan dan Aplikasi Teknik Industri
Vol. 13 No. 1 (2011): JUNE 2011

Pemodelan Time Series Multivariat secara Automatis

Siana Halim (Fakultas Teknologi Industri, Jurusan Teknik Industri, Universitas Kristen Petra. Jl. Siwalankerto 121-131, Surabaya 60236, Indonesia)
Arif Chandra (Fakultas Teknologi Industri, Jurusan Teknik Industri, Universitas Kristen Petra. Jl. Siwalankerto 121-131, Surabaya 60236, Indonesia)



Article Info

Publish Date
11 Jun 2011

Abstract

This research aims at establishing model of multivariate time series by means of econometric instruments. Four instruments in use are vector auto regressive (VAR), structural vector auto regressive (SVAR), vector error correction model (VECM), and structural vector error correction (SVEC). VAR and VECM are employed to estimate and construct models and, subsequently, predict the future values of an object. SVAR and SVEC serve to analyze innovative structures of a model. VAR and SVAR can be implemented only to stationary data whilst VECM and SVEC can be applied to non-stationary inputs. The identification and estimation of the model in this research are specifically designed by R software. Based on this software, all the aforestated models are conclusively able to identify dynamic relationship of endogenous variabel in a model well.

Copyrights © 2011






Journal Info

Abbrev

ind

Publisher

Subject

Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering

Description

Jurnal Teknik Industri aims to: Promote a comprehensive approach to the application of industrial engineering in industries as well as incorporating viewpoints of different disciplines in industrial engineering. Strengthen academic exchange with other institutions. Encourage scientist, practicing ...