Journal of Contemporary Urban Affairs
Vol. 1 No. 3 (2017): Journal of Contemporary Urban Affairs

Solar Radiation Projections of Cmip5 Models for South of Brazil

Elison Eduardo Bierhals (Energy Engineering, State University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil)
Francisco Pereira (Energy Engineering, State University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil)
Claudinéia Brazil (Energy Engineering, State University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil)
Elton Rossini (Energy Engineering, State University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil)



Article Info

Publish Date
28 Dec 2017

Abstract

The most critical factors in the acceleration of climate and environmental changes are related to industrial development and consequently to an increase in the demand for electricity. Looking for measures that minimize impacts on the environment, alternative energy sources are gaining more and more space in the Brazilian energy matrix. Brazil presents a great solar potential for the generation of electric energy, so the knowledge of solar radiation and its characteristics are fundamental for the study of energy use. Due to the above, this article aims to verify the climatic variability corresponding to the variations in solar radiation patterns, in the face of climate change scenarios. The database used in this research is part of the Phase 5 Intercomparison of Matching Models (CMIP5).  It is important, first of all, to determine its availability in order to enable the use of solar radiation as a source of energy in a given location and/or region. The climatic projections, based on the pessimistic scenario, in a 75-year period (2026-2100) showed a fall in solar radiation in all of Rio Grande do Sul, reaching 12% in the eastern region of the state. A concern with the factors that influence the pessimistic perspectives of this scenario, as it may affect a possible production of electric energy from solar radiation.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

ijcua

Publisher

Subject

Description

The International Journal of Contemporary Urban Affairs (IJCUA) is the interdisciplinary academic, refereed journal which publishes two times a year by Anglo-American Publications LLC. IJCUA brings together all the theories, manifestoes and methodologies on contemporary urban spaces to raise the ...