Jurnal Ilmiah Sutet
Vol 7 No 2 (2017): JURNAL ILMIAH SUTET

STUDI PERAMALAN BEBAN RATA – RATA JANGKA PENDEK MENGGUNAKAN METODA AUTOREGRESSIVE INTEGRATED MOVING AVERAGE (ARIMA

Redaksi Tim Jurnal (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
27 Nov 2018

Abstract

Forecasting. Plans, power plants ,. Electricity needs are increasingly changing daily, so the State Electricity Company (PLN) as a provider of energy must be able to predict daily electricity needs. Short-term forecasting is the prediction of electricity demand for a certain period of time ranging from a few minutes to a week ahead. in shortterm electrical forecasting much of the literature describes the techniques and methods applied in forecasting, Autoregresive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), linear regression, and artificial intelligence such as Artificial Neural Networks and fuzzy logic. Short-term forecasting will be done by the authors using time series data that is the data of the use of electric power daily (electrical load) and ARIMA as a method of forecasting. ARIMA method or often called Box-Jenkins technique to find this method is suitable to predict variable costs quickly, simply, and cheaply because it only requires data variables to be predicted. ARIMA can only be used for short-term forecasting. ARIMA is a special linear test, in the form of forecasting this model is completely independent variable variables because this model uses the current model and past values of the dependent variable to produce an accurate short-term forecast.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

sutet

Publisher

Subject

Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mechanical Engineering

Description

SUTET Journal, especially to the Electrical Engineering Lecturer and generally to all Practitioners to be able to contribute in the form of scientific writing which will be useful for the application of science and technology, especially in the field of Electrical and Electrical ...