Jurnal Organisasi Dan Manajemen
Vol 15 No 1 (2019)

The impact of futures price volatility to spot market: case of coffee in Indonesia

Wulandari, Anis Erma (Unknown)
Harianto, Harianto (Unknown)



Article Info

Publish Date
01 Mar 2019

Abstract

Indonesia is the world 4th largest coffee producer with export potential and higher national consumption concluded in 2017 while the coffee production was relatively stagnant. This was led the producer to not only the production risk but also the price risk which then emphasize the importance of futures markets existence as price risk management. This study is performed to examine the impact of futures price volatility to spot market using ARCH-GARCH toward primary data of coffee futures and spot prices of 1172 trading days starting from January 2014 to June 2018. Analysis result indicates that spot price volatility increase due to the volatility of futures prices and exchange rate volatility is also found influencing the volatility of local spot price. This is confirming that futures market plays dominant role in spot price discovery and exchange rate confirms Indonesia as coffee exporting country. Local futures prices are also found to be significantly influenced by volatility of offshore futures prices which indicates that emerging country futures exchange may actually influenced by develop futures market.

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Journal Info

Abbrev

JOM

Publisher

Subject

Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

Description

Merupakan media informasi dan komunikasi para praktisi, peneliti, dan akademisi yang berkecimpung dan menaruh minat serta perhatian pada pengembangan organisasi dan manajemen. Diterbitkan oleh Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat, Universitas ...