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EKO-REGIONAL JURNAL PENGEMBANGAN EKONOMI WILAYAH
Published by Universitas Jenderal Soedirman
ISSN : 19076827     EISSN : 26208849     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
EKO-REGIONAL Jurnal Pembangunan Ekonomi Wilayah (Journal of Regional Economic Development) is a scientific journal containing research results on regional economics, tourism economics, geographical economics, natural resource economics, SMEs development, and local economic development. The journal is published by the Department of Economics and Development Studies, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Jenderal Soedirman in cooperation with Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia (ISEI) Purwokerto branch.
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Articles 11 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Vol 2, No 1 (2007)" : 11 Documents clear
Pengaruh Fluktuasi Harga Minyak pada Ekspor Minyak Mentah Negara-Negara Wilayah OPEC (Periode 1970 – 2005) Abdul Aziz Ahmad
EKO-REGIONAL Vol 2, No 1 (2007)
Publisher : Jurusan Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Universitas Jenderal Soedirman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (401.183 KB) | DOI: 10.20884/1.erjpe.2007.2.1.389

Abstract

This research pressures to export demand of opec crude oil. It concern primarily on the impact of price oil shock toward OPEC crude oil export. Ordinary Least Square (OLS) is not proven accurately to analyze volatile phenomenon of OPEC export demand of crude oil. Otherwise, General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedastic (GARH) and specifically Exponential GARCH give practical and logical model to be applied. It shows that structural break occur in price oil variable and then impact to volatile of crude oil export. Several important world events create structural break and this “bad news” has significant impact to instability of oil price. This result gives also that nominal crude oil price adjusted for exchange rates and demand export of Non-OPEC crude oil have negative impact, and OPEC proven crude oil reserve and Exports of refined products by OPEC have positive impact to OPEC crude oil export.  Keywords: crude oil price, structural break, export demand, GARCH and EGARCH

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