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Ekonomi Bisnis
Published by Universitas Gunadarma
ISSN : 0853862X     EISSN : 20898002     DOI : http://dx.doi.org/10.35760/eb
Core Subject : Economy, Science, Social,
Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis is a journal through a peer-review process. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis is intended for academics and researchers to publish their articles which is an original text that has not been published in another journal. The focus and scope are in the fields of management, economics and accounting.Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis is a journal through a peer-review process. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis is intended for academics and researchers to publish their articles which is an original text that has not been published in another journal. The focus and scope are in the fields of management, economics and accounting.
Arjuna Subject : Bisnis, Menejemen, dan Akutansi (semua kategori) - Bisnis, Menejemen, dan Akutansi (Lain-Lain)
Articles 13 Documents
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Search results for , issue "Vol 30, No 2 (2025)" : 13 Documents clear
CONFIDENCE SHOCKS IN EMERGING MARKETS AND THEIR GLOBAL CONTAGION: INSIGHTS FROM G-CUBED SIMULATIONS Sofa, Wahyuni Andriana; Wahyuni, Ribut Nurul Tri; Kartiasih, Fitri
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis Vol 30, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Gunadarma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35760/eb.2025.v30i2.12754

Abstract

The global economy has begun to recover from the global financial crisis (GFC), which occurred around 10 years ago, according to recent economic statistics.  However, investor confidence has declined in a number of significant emerging markets (EMEs) due to rising interest rates in the US and ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, potentially causing contagion effects worldwide. The worldwide impacts of the financial crisis in certain important EMEs, namely Argentina, Brazil, Turkey, and Russia (ABTR), as well as its widespread impact on raising global investment and consumption risk, are examined in this paper using the G-Cubed model for G-20 nations with six sectors.  According to the findings, because three distinct shocks struck at the same time in ABTR countries—where the initial shock emerged—they experience the most negative short-term effects of the confidence crisis.  The cost of capital rises as a result of the capital outflow from these nations, which causes firms to disinvest or reduce their capital stock. Households across all nations are also more likely to discount future income streams as a result of their increased risk assessment, which promotes more savings and lower spending.  Additionally, both developed and non-shocked emerging countries grew as a result of increased capital inflows, but their trade balances worsened due to exchange rate appreciation, which made the production decline worse.
DETERMINAN KEBIJAKAN DIVIDEN PERUSAHAAN PERBANKKAN PADA INDEX LQ45 Pahlevi, Girvin Olaf; Indrayani, Emmy; Permanasari, Astried
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis Vol 30, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Gunadarma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35760/eb.2025.v30i2.13041

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini yaitu untuk melihat bagaimana Return on Asset (ROA), Current Ratio (CR), ukuran perusahaan, dan Debt to Equity Ratio (DER) berdampak pada kebijakan dividen perusahaan perbankan yang terdaftar di Indeks LQ45 tahun 2019-2023. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode dokumentasi data sekunder dengan purposive sampling, sampelnya terdiri dari lima perusahaan. Data diolah menggunakan teknik analisis meliputi analisis statistik deskriptif, uji asumsi klasik, regresi linear berganda, uji simultan, uji parsial serta uji koefisien determinasi. Hasil studi mengindikasikan yang berpengaruh dan dominan pada kebijakan dviden hanya variabel ukuran perusahaan, meskipun ROA, CR, DER, dan ukuran perusahaan berpengaruh secara bersamaan.
KETIDAKPASTIAN EKONOMI GLOBAL DAN IMPLIKASINYA TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN SUMATERA UTARA: ANALISIS SIMULASI DAN STRATEGI KEBIJAKAN Yunita, Mela
Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis Vol 30, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Gunadarma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35760/eb.2025.v30i2.14050

Abstract

Eskalasi ketidakpastian global dipicu oleh adanya percepatan normalisasi kebijakan moneter Amerika Serikat dan konflik geopolitik. Kombinasi faktor tersebut menimbulkan efek spillover terhadap perekonomian Indonesia, termasuk Sumatera Utara. Makalah ini membahas dampak ketidakpastian global terhadap perekonomian Sumatera Utara menggunakan pendekatan model makro simultan. Studi ini juga menggunakan simulasi untuk menganalisis efek spillover ekonomi global terhadap Sumatera utara. Estimasi dilakukan berdasarkan data deret waktu tahun 2002–2023. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa perekonomian Sumatera Utara sangat dipengaruhi oleh ketidakpastian global, terutama melalui jalur perdagangan internasional. Ekspor memiliki peran penting dalam mendorong pertumbuhan PDRB, sedangkan impor tidak signifikan. Konsumsi dan investasi cenderung stabil menghadapi ketidakpastian global, sebaliknya investasi lebih rentan terhadap perubahan Federal Fund Rate (FFR). Hasil Simulasi menunjukkan bahwa faktor eksternal seperti harga minyak, harga internasional, dan nilai tukar mempengaruhi perdagangan dan pertumbuhan. Sementara pengetatan FFR mempengaruhi konsumsi, investasi, dan pertumbuhan di Sumatra Utara.

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