Pradnyani, Ni Luh Sri Purnama
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Credit Risk and Liquidity Risk with Firm Size as Moderator Variable on Profitability in State-Owned Banking Dewi, Gusti Ayu Putri Pradnya; Pradnyani, Ni Luh Sri Purnama; Suryantari, Eka Putri
Journal of Applied Sciences in Accounting, Finance, and Tax Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): April 2026
Publisher : Unit Publikasi Ilmiah, P3M, Politeknik Negeri Bali

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31940/jasafint.v9i1.53-67

Abstract

This study aims to examine the effect of credit risk and liquidity risk on profitability, with firm size as a moderating variable, in state-owned banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during the 2015–2024 period. The objective of this study is explicitly to analyze both the direct effects of financial risks and the moderating role of firm size in influencing bank profitability, providing a more comprehensive understanding of banking performance. The study provides a comprehensive understanding of how firm-specific characteristics influence the relationship between financial risks and profitability. Grounded in Agency Theory, this study emphasizes that information asymmetry between principals and agents can lead to inefficient risk-taking decisions, where credit risk (proxied by Non-Performing Loans/NPL) and liquidity risk (proxied by Loan to Deposit Ratio/LDR) directly affect profitability (measured by Return on Assets/ROA) through increased costs and reduced financial efficiency. Firm size, measured as the natural logarithm of total assets, is expected to moderate these relationships because larger banks generally possess stronger asset structures, better governance mechanisms, and greater risk absorption capacity. A quantitative approach was employed using secondary data from the annual reports of four state-owned banks over a ten-year period, specifically covering the 2015–2024 observation years, resulting in 40 observations, and analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling–Partial Least Squares (SEM-PLS) with SmartPLS version 4.1.1.6. The findings indicate that credit risk and liquidity risk have a significant negative effect on profitability, while firm size significantly weakens this negative impact, demonstrating a quasi-moderating role. This indicates that firm size acts as a buffering variable that reduces the intensity of risk effects rather than eliminating them entirely, highlighting its strategic importance in banking stability. The study contributes both theoretically and practically by strengthening the application of Agency Theory in explaining risk–profitability relationships and by providing empirical evidence on the moderating role of firm size in state-owned banks in Indonesia, which remains relatively underexplored in prior research.
Interest Rates and Volume Net Foreign Sell on Stock Prices with Profitability as Mediating in Indonesian Banking Dewi, Putu Dianita Cahya; Pradnyani, Ni Luh Sri Purnama; Suarjana, I Wayan
Journal of Applied Sciences in Accounting, Finance, and Tax Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): April 2026
Publisher : Unit Publikasi Ilmiah, P3M, Politeknik Negeri Bali

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31940/jasafint.v9i1.19-28

Abstract

Global interest rate increases, particularly The Fed’s 5.5% hike, and Bank Indonesia monetary tightening have put a great deal of strain on Indonesia’s banking industry, affecting stock prices through shifts in interest rates, foreign investor behavior, and profitability. This study investigates the effect of interest rates and net foreign sell volume on stock prices with profitability as a mediating variable in the Indonesian banking sector. Using a quantitative method, the research utilizes secondary data from 31 banking companies listed on the IDX during 2020 - 2024, producing 155 observations. Data were analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling with SmartPLS 4.1.1.6. The results show that interest rates and net foreign sell have a negative and significant impact on both profitability and stock prices. Profitability has a positive and significant effect on stock prices, and it partially mediates the influence of interest rates and net foreign sell on stock prices. These results support the signalling theory, where rising interest rates and increased foreign sell off act as negative signals for investors, reducing confidence and suppressing stock performance. The research highlights the importance of maintaining financial stability and investor confidence amid global financial volatility.