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All Journal Jurnal Ekonomika Manajemen Dan Bisnis
Dedy Yuliawan
Development Economics, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Lampung
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education

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Analysis Of Factors Affecting The Exchange Value Of Farmers In The Food Corp Subsector In Lampung Province Wulan Dwi Lestari; Dedy Yuliawan
Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis (JEMB) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): Januari - Juni
Publisher : CV. ITTC INDONESIA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47233/jemb.v5i1.4760

Abstract

Farmers’ welfare remains a major issue in agricultural development, particularly in Lampung Province, Indonesia, where agriculture is a primary source of rural income. Despite increasing rice production, improvements in farmers’ welfare are often constrained by fluctuations in commodity prices, production costs, and inflation. This study aims to analyze the effects of rice production and inflation on the Farmer’s Terms of Trade (NTP) in the food crops subsector in Lampung Province in both the short and long term. A quantitative approach was employed using monthly time-series data from 2021–2025. Secondary data on rice production, inflation, and Farmer’s Terms of Trade were obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Ministry of Agriculture. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was applied to examine short-run dynamics and long-run relationships among variables. The results indicate that, in the short term, rice production has a negative and significant effect on the Farmer’s Terms of Trade, while inflation has a positive and significant effect in several lag periods. In the long term, rice production positively and significantly affects the Farmer’s Terms of Trade, whereas inflation has a negative and significant effect. The Error Correction Term (ECT) confirms a stable long-run equilibrium relationship among the variables. These findings imply that improving farmers’ welfare requires not only increased agricultural productivity but also stable inflation to maintain farmers’ purchasing power and support sustainable agricultural development.
The Relationship Between Economic Development To Poverty In Indonesia Rico Ferdian Pratama; Dedy Yuliawan
Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis (JEMB) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): Januari - Juni
Publisher : CV. ITTC INDONESIA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47233/jemb.v5i1.4563

Abstract

Poverty remains one of the major challenges in economic development, particularly in developing countries such as Indonesia. Despite consistent economic growth, poverty reduction does not always occur proportionally, indicating the need to examine structural factors influencing poverty. This study aims to analyze the relationship between economic development represented by education, unemployment, and industrialization to poverty in Indonesia in both the short and long term. The research employs a quantitative approach using annual time series data from 1995–2024 obtained from the World Bank and the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS). The analysis method applied is the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to examine both short-term dynamics and long-term equilibrium relationships between variables. The results indicate that in the short term, education has a negative and significant effect on poverty in the current period, while unemployment significantly increases poverty in lag periods. Industrialization shows mixed effects, where it initially increases poverty but subsequently contributes to poverty reduction in later periods. In the long term, education and unemployment show negative but insignificant effects on poverty, whereas industrialization has a positive and significant effect. These findings suggest that economic development variables influence poverty dynamics, but the effectiveness of poverty reduction depends on the quality of education, labor market absorption, and the inclusiveness of industrial development.
Mapping Global Institutional Typologies: A Hierarchical Clustering Approach to Inclusive–Extractive Governance Yahya Ayasi; Dedy Yuliawan
Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis (JEMB) Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): Januari - Juni
Publisher : CV. ITTC INDONESIA

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47233/jemb.v5i1.4692

Abstract

Cross-country income disparities remain a central puzzle in institutional economics, yet most clustering studies are regionally confined or rely on binary classifications that obscure the multidimensional nature of institutional variation.  This study constructs a global institutional typology for 100 countries across all major world regions and maps Indonesia's governance profile within it.  Hierarchical Clustering Analysis (HCA) was applied to 2023 cross-sectional data using five Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) — Voice and Accountability, Political Stability, Government Effectiveness, Regulatory Quality, and Rule of Law alongside the inverted Corruption Perceptions Index (CPI_rev), replacing the redundant Control of Corruption dimension. Countries were selected through purposive sampling ensuring geographic and developmental representativeness, with z-score standardization, Euclidean distance, and Ward.D linkage validated by silhouette width. Two robust clusters emerged: an extractive-tending group (n = 62, mean GDP per capita USD 19,599 PPP) and an inclusive-tending group (n = 38, mean GDP per capita USD 64,720 PPP), a 3.3-fold income gap consistent with Acemoglu and Robinson's (2012) framework. Indonesia's placement in Cluster 1 reveals a paradox: strong democratic and state-capacity indicators coexist with below-average income, with corruption (CPI_rev = 66.00) and weak rule of law as binding constraints. For extractive-tending countries, corruption control emerges as the most urgent reform priority, while inclusive-tending countries should focus on sustaining institutional quality to maintain long-run economic performance. Indonesia's post-reformasi gains require deeper judicial reform and anti-corruption enforcement to translate governance improvements into inclusive economic outcomes.
Co-Authors Rico Ferdian Pratama Wulan Dwi Lestari Yahya Ayasi