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Prayitno Basuki
Universitas Mataram, Indonesia

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Analysis Of Poverty Dynamics In West Nusa Tenggara Province: An Error Correction Model (ECM) Approach Firmansyah Firmansyah; Iwan Harsono; Prayitno Basuki
JURNAL ECONOMINA Vol. 5 No. 5 (2026): JURNAL ECONOMINA, Mei 2026
Publisher : LPPM Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi 45 Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55681/economina.v5i5.2047

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effects of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), the Open Unemployment Rate (OUR), inflation, and the Human Development Index (HDI) on poverty rates in West Nusa Tenggara Province in both the long and short term. This study employs an explanatory quantitative approach using annual secondary data from 2000 to 2025 obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of West Nusa Tenggara Province. The analysis method used is the Error Correction Model (ECM) to examine the long-run equilibrium relationship and short-run adjustment dynamics among the variables. The results of the study indicate that in the long run, GRDP has a negative and significant effect on poverty, while the unemployment rate has a positive and significant effect; the HDI, however, has no significant effect. Inflation also has no significant effect on poverty. In the short run, none of the variables (GRDP, unemployment rate, inflation, and HDI) have a significant effect on poverty. Simultaneously, the independent variables have a significant effect on poverty in the long run, but not in the short run. Additionally, the Error Correction Term (ECT) results show a negative but insignificant value, indicating that the adjustment process toward long-run equilibrium has not yet proceeded optimally in the short run. These findings suggest that poverty dynamics in West Nusa Tenggara Province are more influenced by long-term structural factors than by short-term fluctuations. Therefore, poverty alleviation policies should focus on promoting inclusive economic growth, job creation, price stability, and the sustainable improvement of human development quality.
The Influence of Total Assets, Investment Breakdown, Inflation, and Interest Rates on Gross Premium Growth in the Indonesian General Insurance Industry (2018–2025) Thony Warisman; Prayitno Basuki; Subhan Purwadinata
JURNAL ECONOMINA Vol. 5 No. 7 (2026): JURNAL ECONOMINA, Juli 2026
Publisher : LPPM Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi 45 Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55681/economina.v5i7.3496

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of Total Assets, Investment Details, Inflation, and Interest Rates on the Gross Premium of the general insurance industry in Indonesia for the 2018–2025 period. The research utilizes a quantitative approach with monthly secondary data obtained from the Financial Services Authority (OJK), the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS), and Bank Indonesia (BI). The analysis technique used is multiple linear regression processed through EViews 12, consisting of classical assumption tests, partial test (t), simultaneous test (F), and coefficient of determination (Adjusted R²). The results show that Total Assets has a positive and significant effect on Gross Premium, Investment Details has a negative and significant effect on Gross Premium, Inflation has no significant effect on Gross Premium, while Interest Rates has a positive and significant effect on Gross Premium. Simultaneous testing indicates that all independent variables collectively have a significant effect on Gross Premium, explaining 47.60% of the model’s variance, while the remaining is influenced by other variables outside the model. The research findings suggest that the development of Gross Premium in Indonesia’s general insurance industry is highly driven by the internal financial strength of the firms rather than macro-level indicators individually, emphasizing that asset strengthening, prudent investment management, and corporate financial health are essential aspects of insurance industry growth