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Dynamics Modeling of Adaptive Social Protection for Climate Disaster Resilience: Evidence from Lampung Province, Indonesia Nana Mulyana; Eko Budi Sulistio; Ita Prihantika; Tia Panca Rahmadhani
Journal of Research in Social Science and Humanities Vol 6, No 1 (2026): March 2026
Publisher : Utan Kayu Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47679/jrssh.v6i1.640

Abstract

Climate-related disasters and recurring social crises disproportionately affect vulnerable populations in developing countries, including Indonesia as one of Asia's most disaster-prone nationn, lacks a validated, simulation-based adaptive social protection (ASP) model tailored to its institutional context. This article addresses that gap by developing and validating an ASP model for Lampung Province, Indonesia, a high-risk region with documented exposure to tsunamis, flooding, and elevated socioeconomic vulnerability. The study employs a sequential exploratory mixed-methods design: qualitative data from focus group discussions with 18 key informants were used to conceptualize causal structures, while quantitative simulation using Vensim PLE 16.1.1 was employed to test two policy scenarios. Simulation results demonstrate that rapid government response reduces community vulnerability within 12 simulation periods compared to delayed response, while community capacity building yields greater long-term resilience gains with accelerating recovery slopes that outperform government-centric responses. The model identifies infrastructure recovery, psychological stability, and economic diversification as the three most influential feedback variables. These findings contribute the first validated SD-ASP model for Indonesia and provide actionable policy recommendations for integrating adaptive social protection into Indonesia's national disaster management framework.
EVIDENCE OF LOCAL GOVERNMENT POLICIES AND THE CHALLENGES FACED (A STUDY OF THE LEGAL AFFAIRS BUREAU OF THE LAMPUNG PROVINCIAL GOVERNMENT) Eko Budi Sulistio; Simon Sumanjoyo Hutagalung; Ita Prihantika
Journal of Research in Social Science and Humanities Vol 6, No 2 (2026): June
Publisher : Utan Kayu Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47679/jrssh.v6i2.629

Abstract

One of the public policy processes that rarely receives attention and is rarely carried out is the public policy evaluation stage. However, this policy evaluation activity is very important because it can assess the success or failure of a public policy implementation. As part of the government, it is appropriate for the Lampung Provincial Government to evaluate each implemented public policy to assess its performance (results and impacts) in solving public problems. The purpose of this study is to determine, describe, and analyze the policy evaluation activities that have been carried out by the Lampung Provincial Government to determine the performance of the policies. This research is a descriptive study with a qualitative approach, where data were collected through in-depth interviews and documentation. The results of the study show that public policies in the form of Regional Regulations (Perda) of Lampung Province in 2023-2024 were subjected to formal evaluation by the central government in the form of a review to determine whether the regulation contradicts the regulations above or not. Meanwhile, no substantive evaluation of these regulations was specifically carried out by the Lampung Provincial Government.