Emmanuel John Anagu
Federal University Wukari, Taraba state, Nigeria

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An Explainable Ai Framework For Transparent Poverty Classification And Citizen Engagement In Nigeria Emmanuel John Anagu; Umar Mairo; Victoria Sabo
Brilliance: Research of Artificial Intelligence Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): Brilliance: Research of Artificial Intelligence, Article Research May 2026
Publisher : Yayasan Cita Cendekiawan Al Khwarizmi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47709/brilliance.v6i2.8205

Abstract

Poverty targeting in Nigeria remains quite astonishingly inefficient with exclusion error rates above 40 per cent which puts millions of eligible households out of reach of welfare assistance. The existing models of the Proxy Means Test (PMT) are binary classification based, non-transparent and cannot work in dynamic and high noise settings and this leads to an ongoing accuracy-transparency-robustness trilemma. The aim is to design and test an explainable artificial intelligence system that will increase the accuracy of poverty classification, transparency, and decrease errors of exclusion in the welfare targeting system of Nigeria. The Design Science Research (DSR) methodology was applied to develop the Fuzzy-Adaptive Stacking Ensemble for Explainable AI (FAS-XAI) that incorporates Type-2 Fuzzy Logic, stacking ensembles of XGBoost, CatBoost, and LightGBM, and a Cognitive Transparency Module. This model was evaluated using the GHs Wave 5 (20232024; N = 5,067) of Nigeria with cross-validation and performance values of R 2 and AUC. FAS-XAI showed an impressive predictive performance (R 2 = 0.967; AUC = 0.996), reducing the exclusion errors by 100-34.3 per cent. High-ranked predictors were found to be the dependency ratio, asset wealth and gaps in energy transition, whereas integrated interventions had more significant poverty reduction impacts. This paper introduces a novel groundbreaking fuzzy-stacking explainable AI framework that combines interpretability and robustness, providing a policy-relevant, scalable solution to transparent and equitable poverty targeting in Nigeria.
Optimizing Chronic Kidney Disease Prediction Via Ensemble Learning On Imbalanced Multi-Feature Clinical Data Emmanuel John Anagu; Gani Timothy Abe; Victoria Zevini Sabo; Sunday Jatau Lamiri
Brilliance: Research of Artificial Intelligence Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): Brilliance: Research of Artificial Intelligence, Article Research May 2026
Publisher : Yayasan Cita Cendekiawan Al Khwarizmi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47709/brilliance.v6i2.8210

Abstract

Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) remains a critical global health burden, characterized by its asymptomatic progression in early stages and high risk of culminating in end-stage renal disease, yet timely detection remains elusive within conventional diagnostic frameworks. This study addresses this gap by comparatively evaluating four machine learning classifiers Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Logistic Regression for early CKD prediction using a multi-feature, class-imbalanced clinical dataset. A dataset comprising 1,659 patient records and 54 clinical, demographic, and laboratory features was sourced from the Kaggle repository, preprocessed through feature elimination (reducing features to 40), standardization, and Random Oversampling to correct class imbalance. An 80-20 train-test split was applied prior to model training and hyperparameter tuning. Classification performance was assessed using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC-ROC). Random Forest achieved the highest accuracy of 99.67%, an AUC of 1.00, and near-perfect precision and recall, substantially outperforming KNN (95.26%), SVM (80.00%), and Logistic Regression (78.53%). These findings confirm the superiority of ensemble bagging methods over distance-based and linear classifiers in managing high-dimensional, imbalanced medical datasets. The study contributes to the growing body of evidence supporting machine learning integration into CKD screening pathways, while underscoring the critical role of class-balancing strategies in preventing diagnostic bias. The deployed Streamlit application further demonstrates a viable pathway toward accessible clinical decision-support tools for CKD early detection.