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B. Sobirov
“Silk Road” International University of Tourism and Cultural Heritage, Uzbekistan
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Public Health Social Sciences Other

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BENCHMARKING THE TRAVEL AND TOURISM COMPETITIVENESS OF UZBEKISTAN AGAINST REGIONAL PEERS: A PILLAR-LEVEL GAP ANALYSIS WITHIN THE TTDI FRAMEWORK B. Sobirov
Proceeding of International Conference on Social Science and Humanity Vol. 3 No. 3 (2026): Proceeding of International Conference on Social Science and Humanity
Publisher : PT ANTIS INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHER

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61796/icossh.v3i3.598

Abstract

Objective: This study benchmarks the travel and tourism competitiveness of Uzbekistan against twelve comparator economies, including its immediate Caucasus and Central Asian (CCA) peers and three global tourism leaders, using a seventeen-pillar adaptation of the Travel and Tourism Development Index (TTDI). Method: A composite-index and gap-decomposition methodology is applied: pillar scores are aggregated into five thematic sub-indices, a competitiveness gap vector is computed against the peer mean, and the competitiveness-arrivals relationship is tested through bivariate regression. Results: Uzbekistan records an overall score of 3.68, ranking eleventh in the sample and 0.18 points below the unweighted comparator mean. The decomposition reveals a sharply bifurcated profile: the country is competitive on safety and security (6.17), price (5.49) and demand sustainability (4.13), but lags substantially on tourist-services infrastructure (1.45), cultural resources (1.85) and travel-and-tourism prioritization (3.30). A statistically meaningful positive association is found between competitiveness and arrivals across the sample. The findings indicate that Uzbekistan's competitiveness deficit is concentrated in policy-amenable infrastructure and resource-valorization pillars rather than in structural endowments, and a prioritized intervention sequence is proposed. Novelty: This study benchmarks the travel and tourism competitiveness of Uzbekistan against twelve comparator economies, including its immediate Caucasus and Central Asian (CCA) peers and three global tourism leaders, using a seventeen-pillar adaptation of the Travel and Tourism Development Index (TTDI). A composite-index and gap-decomposition methodology is applied: pillar scores are aggregated into five thematic sub-indices, a competitiveness gap vector is computed against the peer mean, and the competitiveness-arrivals relationship is tested through bivariate regression.
GLOBAL COMPETITIVE POSITIONING OF UZBEKISTAN'S TOURISM SECTOR: A DISTANCE-TO-FRONTIER DIAGNOSIS ACROSS THIRTEEN DEVELOPMENT PILLARS B. Sobirov
Proceeding of International Conference on Social Science and Humanity Vol. 3 No. 3 (2026): Proceeding of International Conference on Social Science and Humanity
Publisher : PT ANTIS INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHER

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61796/icossh.v3i3.601

Abstract

Objective: Aggregate competitiveness rankings indicate a destination's overall standing but not where, and by how much, it falls short of attainable global performance. Method: This study applies a distance-to-frontier methodology to position Uzbekistan's tourism sector against the world best-in-class on each of thirteen Travel and Tourism Development Index pillars, using Uzbekistan's 2024 global ranks and pillar indices benchmarked to the highest-scoring economy on every pillar. Results: Uzbekistan attains an overall index of 3.76 (global rank 78), but the pillar-level diagnosis reveals that its largest absolute shortfalls fall not on its lowest-ranked relative weaknesses alone but on its resource pillars: the gap to the frontier is widest for cultural resources (3.19 points, versus Italy), natural resources (3.03, versus Mexico) and tourist-services infrastructure (2.80, versus Cyprus). Conversely, the smallest distances arise on human resources, environmental sustainability and price, where the global frontier is itself comparatively compressed. Novelty: The analysis reframes the competitiveness agenda from closing relative peer gaps to valorizing under-exploited resource endowments and upgrading service infrastructure toward attainable international benchmarks, and it supplies a transparent, pillar-specific target-setting instrument.
TOURISM'S MACROECONOMIC CONTRIBUTION AND POST-PANDEMIC RESILIENCE: GDP AND EMPLOYMENT DYNAMICS, 2015-2025, WITH PROJECTIONS TO 2030 B. Sobirov
Proceeding of International Conference on Social Science and Humanity Vol. 3 No. 3 (2026): Proceeding of International Conference on Social Science and Humanity
Publisher : PT ANTIS INTERNATIONAL PUBLISHER

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.61796/icossh.v3i3.602

Abstract

Objective: The COVID-19 pandemic delivered the sharpest contraction in the modern history of tourism, providing a natural experiment in the sector's macroeconomic weight and resilience. Method: This study analyses the trajectory of tourism's contribution to global gross domestic product and employment over 2015-2025 and projects it to 2030. Results: Tourism's GDP share, stable at about 10.3 percent on the eve of the pandemic, collapsed to 5.5 percent in 2020 - a 47 percent contraction - before recovering to 10.3 percent by 2025; its employment share fell more modestly, from 10.3 to 8.4 percent (a 18 percent contraction), and recovered to 10.9 percent. The asymmetry between the deep, V-shaped output contraction and the shallower, more persistent employment adjustment is the study's central empirical finding, indicating substantial labour retention and a slower but ultimately fuller employment recovery. Trend projection points to continued expansion of both shares through 2030. Novelty: The results quantify tourism's macroeconomic significance, characterize its resilience profile, and inform counter-cyclical and workforce policy.
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