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All Journal RABIT: Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi Univrab
Eriska Hamida Sihotang
Universitas Malikussaleh, Fakultas Teknik, Program Studi Informatika
Computer Science & IT Engineering

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PREDIKSI JUMLAH PASIEN RAWAT INAP MENGGUNAKAN METODE DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DI RSU CUT MEUTIA KOTA LHOKSEUMAWE: Prediksi Jumlah Pasien Eriska Hamida Sihotang; Dahlan Abdullah; Nunsina
Rabit : Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Informasi Univrab Vol 10 No 2 (2025): Juli
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Abdurrab

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36341/rabit.v10i2.6060

Abstract

The increasing number of inpatient visits at hospitals requires better and more accurate planning by healthcare facilities. Poor planning can lead to an imbalance between the number of patients and the available resources, such as hospital beds, medical personnel, and medications. This study aims to develop a forecasting system for predicting the number of inpatients using the  (DES) method at RSU Cut Meutia Kota Lhokseumawe. The DES method is chosen because it is capable of handling historical data that exhibits trend patterns without seasonal components. The data used in this study consists of daily inpatient records from 2022 to 2024. The forecasting process involves testing several alpha and beta values to determine the most optimal parameter combination, which yields the highest accuracy based on the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The forecasting system is developed using Python programming language and produces outputs in the form of graphs and daily prediction tables. The results show that the DES method provides accurate forecasts and can assist in improving inpatient capacity planning and overall hospital resource management.  
Co-Authors Dahlan Abdullah Nunsina