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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI)
Margarita Giraldo Retuerto
Universidad de Ciencias y Humanidades
Computer Science & IT Engineering

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Predicting university student dropouts in Latin America using machine learning Laberiano Andrade-Arenas; Inoc Rubio Paucar; Margarita Giraldo Retuerto; Cesar Yactayo-Arias
IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) Vol 15, No 1: February 2026
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijai.v15.i1.pp628-641

Abstract

In the university context, student dropout has become one of the most recurring problems, both in the short and long term. The objective of this research was to develop a predictive model using the random forest (RF) algorithm to identify patterns associated with university dropout. To achieve this, the knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) methodology was applied, which encompasses the stages of selection, preprocessing, transformation, data mining, and interpretation of results. The RF model demonstrated superior performance compared to other evaluated models, achieving an accuracy of 87%, a precision of 86%, a recall of 85%, an F1-score of 85%, and an receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) of 0.91, highlighting its high predictive capability compared to other techniques analyzed. Therefore, the application of the proposed model is recommended in various university institutions in order to identify potential dropout cases at an early stage.
Predictive model based on machine learning to identify sleep-related health problems Laberiano Andrade-Arenas; Inoc Rubio Paucar; Margarita Giraldo Retuerto; Cesar Yactayo-Arias
IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) Vol 15, No 4: August 2026
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijai.v15.i4.pp3888-3902

Abstract

Sleep quality has become a growing public health issue worldwide, mainly due to a lack of awareness about its long-term consequences. Despite existing strategies to address this problem, there remains a need for more effective approaches. In this study, an early detection model for sleep disorders was implemented using the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm, following the knowledge discovery in databases (KDD) methodology, which includes the phases of selection, preprocessing, transformation, data mining, and interpretation. A dataset extracted from the Kaggle platform in CSV format was used, consisting of 374 records. With an overall accuracy of 91.5%, a recall of 100% for the insomnia class, and a precision of 100% for sleep apnea, the proposed model demonstrated exceptional performance. It also received an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.909 and an average F1-score of 0.913. With a mean accuracy of 91%, a 95% confidence interval (0.89–0.94), and a p-value of 0.0012, cross-validation confirmed its robustness and showed a statistically significant change from the baseline model. The error rates remained within clinically acceptable ranges, confirming its applicability as a diagnostic support tool. Overall, the results demonstrate the effectiveness of the model in identifying patterns related to sleep disorders.
Co-Authors Cesar Yactayo-Arias Inoc Rubio Paucar Inoc Rubio Paucar Laberiano Andrade-Arenas