Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
0.23
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal Vygotsky: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika
Addinda Nur Ameliyah
Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember
Mathematics

Published : 1 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search

 1 
Estimation of Dengue Fever Transmission Model in West Java Using the Ensemble Kalman Filter Method Addinda Nur Ameliyah; Didik Khusnul Arif
Vygotsky: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika Vol. 8 No. 1 (2026): Vygotsky: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika
Publisher : Universitas Islam Lamongan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30736/voj.v8i1.1325

Abstract

Dengue Fever Transmission is a serious, potentially fatal infectious if unmanaged disease. It caused by the dengue virus, transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus mosquitoes. In West Java, cases remain high and fluctuate significantly, requiring precise mathematical modeling to describe transmission dynamics. This is the first study applying Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) in West Java to estimate the SEIR-SI model, compared to Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), using dengue fever transmission case data from 2010–2023. Performance was assessed via Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) for the infected human population ( ), showing EnKF’s superior accuracy (2.4%) over UKF (7.8%). EnKF effectively estimates hard-to-measure epidemiological variables and this study can support government prediction-based dengue fever transmission control policies.
Co-Authors Didik Khusnul Arif