Yohana N Maharani
Master's Program in Disaster Management, UPN Veteran Yogyakarta, Yogyakarta, Indonesia

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Validation of Weather Radar-Based Rainfall Estimation to Support Flood Mitigation Strategies in the Bima Region Satria Topan Primadi; Yohana N Maharani; Teddy A Cahyadi; Awang Hendrianto Pratomo; Arif Rianto Budi Nugroho
Journal of Applied Geospatial Information Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026): Journal of Applied Geospatial Information (JAGI)
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/jagi.v10i1.13501

Abstract

Flood is one of the most frequent hydrometeorological disasters in Bima, West Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia. Although the C-Band weather radar operated by the Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) has been utilized for weather monitoring and early warning, the accuracy of its rainfall estimation products has not been comprehensively validated under the complex topographic conditions of the region. This study aims to evaluate the performance of four weather radar rainfall products, namely Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator (CAPPI), Column Maximum (CMAX), Rain Tracking (RTR), and Surface Rainfall Intensity (SRI), by comparing radar-derived rainfall estimates with in-situ observations from Automatic Rain Gauge (ARG), Automatic Weather Station (AWS), and Automatic Agroclimate Weather Station (AAWS). The analysis was conducted across three radar distance zones (0–20 km, 20–50 km, and 100–150 km) to investigate the influence of radar range on rainfall estimation accuracy. Model performance was evaluated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC), and the Youden Index to determine the optimal rainfall and reflectivity thresholds for flood early warning. The results showed that CAPPI achieved the lowest RMSE (2.578 mm h⁻¹) within the 0–20 km zone, whereas CMAX provided the highest estimation accuracy at greater radar distances. ROC analysis further identified locally optimized rainfall warning thresholds ranging from 0.053 to 0.716 mm h⁻¹, depending on the radar distance zone, thereby improving the discrimination between flood and non-flood events. These findings contribute to improving radar-based rainfall estimation and support the development of a more reliable impact-based flood early warning system in tropical regions with complex terrain.
An Explanatory Sequential Mixed-Methods Evaluation of Consecutive Dry Day Information Dissemination for Forest and Land Fire Disaster Risk Reduction in West Kotawaringin Nur Setiawan; Yohana N Maharani; Johan Danu Prasetya; Tedy Agung Cahyadi; Eko Teguh Paripurno
Journal of Applied Geospatial Information Vol. 10 No. 1 (2026): Journal of Applied Geospatial Information (JAGI)
Publisher : Politeknik Negeri Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30871/jagi.v10i1.13619

Abstract

Forest and land fires frequently occur in Indonesian tropical peatlands due to prolonged dry periods. Although the Indonesian Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) routinely disseminates consecutive dry day (HTH) information, its effectiveness in supporting forest and land fire prevention has received limited attention. This study evaluated the relationship between HTH and hotspot occurrence and assessed the effectiveness of HTH information dissemination using an explanatory sequential mixed-methods approach. Pearson correlation analysis was applied to HTH and hotspot data collected during 2023-2024, while stakeholder perceptions were evaluated through questionnaires involving 43 respondents and supported by semi-structured interviews. The results revealed a positive relationship between HTH and hotspot occurrence, with a stronger correlation during the 2023 El Niño period than in 2024. Stakeholders showed a very high perception of HTH information dissemination, with an overall mean score of 4.239 and excellent questionnaire reliability (Cronbach's α = 0.9862). However, qualitative findings indicated that institutional coordination and differences in technical understanding affected the operational use of HTH information. These findings demonstrate that effective forest and land fire early warning systems require not only reliable climate indicators but also effective dissemination and institutional coordination to support timely mitigation. Overall, this study demonstrates that HTH-based consecutive dry day information dissemination constitutes an integral component of a science-based Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) and Disaster Management strategy, bridging meteorological monitoring with multi-stakeholder preventive action in tropical peatland fire-prone regions.