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All Journal JPG (Jurnal Pendidikan Geografi)
Randi Arman Pratama
Department of Geography, Faculty of Social & Political Sciences, Semarang State University, Indonesia
Earth & Planetary Sciences Education

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Spatial Dynamics of Land Use Changes and Land Carrying Capacity of Settlement in Palaran District Year 2014 – 2024 Randi Arman Pratama; Ananto Aji; Juhadi Juhadi
JPG (Jurnal Pendidikan Geografi) Vol 12, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Lambung Mangkurat

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20527/jpg.v12i2.22895

Abstract

This study examines spatial dynamics of land use change and the capacity of land to support residential development in Palaran Subdistrict, Samarinda City, over a ten-year period. The objectives are to map temporal shifts in land cover for 2014, 2019, and 2024; to evaluate land suitability for housing based on eight bio-physical parameters stipulated by national regulation; and to quantify the carrying capacity and population support capacity of suitable land. The methodology integrates multitemporal satellite imagery processing, supervised classification with a random decision forest  algorithm, geographic information system overlay analysis, and field validation at two hundred sampling points. Results reveal a forty-one percent increase in built-up area and a seventy-percent decrease in agricultural land, with over eighty-seven percent of the study area classified as highly suitable for residential use. Calculations of land support capacity indicate a significant surplus relative to current population levels, underscoring opportunities for sustainable urban expansion and evidence-based spatial planning.
Co-Authors Ananto Aji Juhadi Juhadi