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All Journal Journal of Economics and Regional Science
Sitanggang, Kanna Enjelina
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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ANALISIS DETERMINAN MAKRO EKONOMI DAN SOSIAL TERHADAP TABUNGAN DOMESTIK DI KALIMANTAN TENGAH PERIODE 2010-2023 Jannah, Miftakhul; Fauzi, Risky Ahmad; Sagala, Desi Triana; Kristiani, Yonita; Sitanggang, Kanna Enjelina; Pardede, Wenty Magdalena; Donovan, Arian; Purba, Christian Posmadi; Hukom, Alexandra
Journal of Economics and Regional Science Vol. 5 No. 2 (2025): Journal of Economics and Regional Science
Publisher : STIE Jambatan Bulan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52421/jurnal-esensi.v5i2.649

Abstract

This study analyzes the influence of macroeconomic and social determinants on domestic savings in Central Kalimantan during 2010-2023. Using the Engle-Granger Error Correction Model (EG-ECM) with time series data from the Central Statistics Agency, Bank Indonesia, and Ministry of Finance, this research examines the relationship between Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), Dependency Ratio, Open Unemployment Rate, and Human Development Index as independent variables against Domestic Savings as the dependent variable. The findings reveal significant differences between short-term and long-term dynamics. In the long run, GRDP shows a positive and significant effect with an elasticity of 0.862, while the Human Development Index demonstrates a consistently negative and significant impact in both time horizons with coefficients of -2.719 (short- term) and -2.042 (long-term), indicating a trade-off between human capital investment and financial savings accumulation. Dependency Ratio and Open Unemployment Rate show no significant effects in either period, challenging conventional theories applied in developed countries. The Error Correction Term coefficient of -1.672 indicates overshooting in the adjustment process toward long-term equilibrium.
Co-Authors Alexandra Hukom, Alexandra Donovan, Arian Fauzi, Risky Ahmad Kristiani, Yonita MIFTAKHUL JANNAH Pardede, Wenty Magdalena Purba, Christian Posmadi Sagala, Desi Triana