Percy Junior Castro Mejía
Universidad Privada del Norte

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Application of predictive analytics and its impact on strategic decision-making in financial institutions in Peru Anibal Gabriel Quintana Escobedo; Percy Junior Castro Mejía
International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering (IJECE) Vol 16, No 4: August 2026
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijece.v16i4.pp2158-2168

Abstract

This study evaluates the impact of implementing Machine Learning architectures on strategic decision-making within financial institutions in Metropolitan Lima. Using an experimental approach, models such as XGBoost were developed, achieving an AUC-ROC of 0.92 and an F1-Score of 0.89. The results demonstrate a significant improvement in operational indicators between 2024 (pre-intervention) and 2025 (post-intervention). Specifically, credit delinquency decreased from 4.8% to 4.2%, while fraud losses dropped by 25% (from 0.8% to 0.6%). Additionally, the credit approval time was reduced from 15 to 5 days, contributing to an 18.2% increase in return on assets (ROA). The findings confirmed that transitioning from reactive to proactive predictive models optimizes operational efficiency and financial resilience. This research provides a technical and strategic roadmap for the digital transformation of the banking sector through advanced analytics and a data-driven culture.