Sri Mardiyati
Indraprasta Pgri University

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Journal : international journal software engineering and computer science ijsecs

Forecasting Public Interest Toward FIFA World Cup 2026 in Indonesia Using Google Trends and ARIMA Model Eko Tri Asmoro; Sri Mardiyati; Ulfa Pauziah; Munich Heindari Ekasari
International Journal Software Engineering and Computer Science (IJSECS) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): AUGUST 2026
Publisher : Lembaga Komunitas Informasi Teknologi Aceh (KITA), Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35870/ijsecs.v6i2.7471

Abstract

Public interest in major international sporting events can be examined through online search behavior, which provides an indication of public attention and anticipation. This study aimed to analyze and forecast public interest in the FIFA World Cup 2026 in Indonesia using Google Trends data. Weekly search data from June 2021 to May 2026 were collected from Google Trends, focusing on the keyword “FIFA World Cup 2026” and related search terms. A quantitative time-series approach was employed, including descriptive statistics, correlation analysis, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) stationarity test, Autocorrelation Function (ACF) and Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) analyses, and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) modeling. The results showed that search interest increased as the tournament approached, with several notable spikes observed during 2024–2026. Descriptive statistics indicated substantial fluctuations in search activity, while the ADF test confirmed that the series was stationary, with an ADF statistic of −8.1497 and a probability value below 0.05. Several ARIMA specifications were evaluated, and ARIMA(1,0,2) was identified as the selected forecasting model based on the lowest Akaike Information Criterion (AIC = 8.1480) and Schwarz Criterion (SC = 8.2162) values. Forecast evaluation produced an RMSE of 16.482, an MAE of 10.525, and a Theil Inequality Coefficient of 0.571. The forecasting results suggest that search interest in the FIFA World Cup 2026 will remain elevated as the tournament approaches. These findings indicate that Google Trends data combined with ARIMA modeling can be used to analyze and forecast search-interest patterns related to major international sporting events.
Multiclass Electrical Fault Classification in Three-Phase Power Systems Using Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and XGBoost Sri Mardiyati; Pandhu Pramarta
International Journal Software Engineering and Computer Science (IJSECS) Vol. 6 No. 3 (2026): DECEMBER 2026
Publisher : Lembaga Komunitas Informasi Teknologi Aceh (KITA), Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35870/ijsecs.v6i3.8397

Abstract

Electrical fault classification in three-phase power systems remains challenging because different fault conditions can exhibit similar current and voltage characteristics, limiting the diagnostic capability of conventional binary fault detection. This study aimed to compare the performance of Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) for multiclass electrical fault classification and to identify the most effective and stable model. The publicly available Electrical Fault Detection and Classification dataset obtained from the Kaggle repository was used in this study. The dataset contains 7,861 observations with six electrical features comprising three-phase currents (Ia, Ib, and Ic) and voltages (Va, Vb, and Vc), which were used to classify six operating conditions: Normal, Line-to-Ground, Line-to-Line, Double Line-to-Ground, Three-Phase, and Three-Phase-to-Ground faults. The models were evaluated using accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and five-fold stratified cross-validation, complemented by confusion-matrix and feature-importance analyses. Random Forest achieved the best test performance with an accuracy of 86.78% and an F1-score of 86.76%, while cross-validation produced a mean accuracy of 87.55% and a mean F1-score of 87.53%. Class-level analysis revealed that Three-Phase and Three-Phase-to-Ground faults were the most difficult conditions to distinguish because of substantial overlap in their electrical characteristics. The findings demonstrated that Random Forest provided the most effective and stable classification performance and that combining performance, stability, and class-level analyses provided deeper insight into multiclass electrical fault diagnosis.