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Land-use and land-cover changes in the São Félix do Xingu microregion, Pará, Brazil: Cattle ranching as a direct driver and mining as a potential indirect driver of landscape transformation Wanzeler, Glaize Rodrigues; Rodrigues , Izabeli da S.; Coutinho , Henrique M.; de OLiveira, Gilmara Maureline T. da S.; de Oliveira, Eder Silva
Journal of Degraded and Mining Lands Management Vol. 13 No. 4 (2026)
Publisher : Brawijaya University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15243/jdmlm.2026.134.11161

Abstract

This article analyzes land use and land cover dynamics in the São Félix do Xingu microregion (Pará, Brazil) over 25 years, combining multitemporal geospatial analysis and panel-data econometric modeling. Data from MapBiomas, SIDRA/IBGE, the Geological Survey of Brazil, and the National Mining Agency were integrated in a GIS environment (QGIS) and analyzed in R. The geospatial analysis, the core of the investigation, revealed substantial suppression of native vegetation, particularly in São Félix do Xingu and Cumaru do Norte, along with the expansion of mining activity within the Kayapó Indigenous Land and 433 mining titles overlapping Conservation Units and Indigenous Lands. As supporting evidence, a system of panel-data equations with municipality and year fixed effects describes an intertemporal sequence in which accumulated mining was associated with cattle-herd expansion (? = 0.151), and lagged cattle herd size was positively associated with pasture expansion (? = 0.375). The results indicate that cattle ranching remains the main direct driver of forest conversion, while the findings suggest that illegal mining may act as an indirect driver of regional productive reorganization, in a context of limited environmental and territorial governance.