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All Journal Journal of State Economic Research
Randa Sarjana Dabukke
Politeknik Keuangan Negara STAN (State Finance Polytechnic STAN), South Tangerang, Indonesia
Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Hydrological Shocks, Coal Logistics, and State Revenue Fluctuations: Regional Economic Comparative Analysis Achmaq Rifqy; Andyna Kurnia Wijayanti; Dominico Savio Noel Naftali; Hadayna Rahma Sadida; Randa Sarjana Dabukke; Viona Putri Dhamayanti
Journal of State Economic Research Vol. 2 No. 1 (2026): Journal of State Economic Research
Publisher : Yayasan Cerdas Pedia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.65101/jser.v2i1.340

Abstract

Extreme climate anomalies destabilize strategic commodity supply chains, creating institutional inefficiencies that threaten energy security and fiscal stability. This comparative research evaluated the transmission of hydrological shocks using spatial analysis and institutional economics. The findings prove that logistics infrastructure asymmetry strictly determines the severity of macroeconomic crises. Absolute dependence on monolithic river corridors triggers intermediary market failures, directly locking delivery volumes when water discharge shrinks. Conversely, the operational flexibility of multimodal rail networks acts as crucial redundancy, successfully buffering domestic energy deficits. This physical mobility instability triggers a widening deviation in state revenue, proving global commodity price spikes inevitably fail to compensate for fiscal losses. The novelty of this study shatters classical deterministic assumptions by positioning supply chain resilience as the primary parameter for fiscal protection. Its prescriptive policy implications urge authorities to overhaul revenue forecasting architectures by integrating logistical climate risk indices, thereby fortifying financial systems against ecological disasters.
Co-Authors Achmaq Rifqy Andyna Kurnia Wijayanti Dominico Savio Noel Naftali Hadayna Rahma Sadida Viona Putri Dhamayanti