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Journal : Infolitika Journal of Data Science

Unraveling Geospatial Determinants: Robust Geographically Weighted Regression Analysis of Maternal Mortality in Indonesia Rahayu, Latifah; Ulfa, Elvitra Mutia; Sasmita, Novi Reandy; Sofyan, Hizir; Kruba, Rumaisa; Mardalena, Selvi; Saputra, Arif
Infolitika Journal of Data Science Vol. 1 No. 2 (2023): December 2023
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijds.v1i2.133

Abstract

Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) in Indonesia has experienced a concerning annual increase, reaching 4,627 deaths in 2020 compared to 4,221 in 2019. This upward trajectory underscores the urgency of investigating the factors contributing to MMR. Recognizing the spatial heterogeneity and outliers in the data, our study employs the Robust Geographically Weighted Regression (RGWR) method with the Least Absolute Deviation approach. Using secondary data from the 2020 Indonesian Health Profile publication, the research seeks to establish province-specific models for MMR in 2020 and identify the key influencing factors in each region. Standard regression analyses fall short in addressing the complexities present in the data, making the RGWR approach crucial for understanding the nuanced relationships. The chosen RGWR model utilizes the Least Absolute Deviation method and a fixed kernel exponential weighting function. Notably, this model maintains a consistent bandwidth value across all locations, showcasing its robustness. In evaluating the model variations, the exponential fixed kernel weighting function emerges as the most optimal, boasting the smallest Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) value of 23.990 and the highest coefficient of determination  value of 93.66%. The outcomes of this research yield 24 distinct models, each tailored to the unique characteristics of every province in Indonesia. This nuanced, location-specific approach is vital for developing effective interventions and policies to address the persistently high MMR. By providing insights into the complex interplay of factors influencing maternal mortality in different regions, the study contributes to the groundwork for targeted and impactful public health initiatives across Indonesia.
Comparison of Spatial Interpolation Methods: Inverse Distance Weighted and Kriging for Earthquake Intensity Mapping in Aceh, Indonesia Rahayu, Latifah; Utami, Cut Chairilla Yolanda; Fauzi, Rahmatul; Sasmita, Novi Reandy
Infolitika Journal of Data Science Vol. 3 No. 2 (2025): November 2025
Publisher : Heca Sentra Analitika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.60084/ijds.v3i2.347

Abstract

Aceh Province, located in the Sumatra megathrust zone of Indonesia, is one of the most seismically active regions in Southeast Asia. Understanding the spatial distribution of earthquake magnitudes is essential for disaster mitigation and risk management. This study compares two spatial interpolation methods Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) and Kriging to determine the most accurate approach for mapping earthquake intensity in Aceh Province. A total of 2,255 earthquake events with magnitudes of 2.5 M and above, recorded between 1990 and 2024 by the United States Geological Survey (USGS), were analyzed. IDW was tested using five power parameters (p = 1–5), while Kriging applied three semivariogram models (spherical, exponential, and Gaussian). The interpolation accuracy was assessed through Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), Mean Square Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Results indicated that Kriging with the exponential semivariogram achieved the highest accuracy, with RMSE = 0.0848, MSE = 0.0072, and MAPE = 1.14%, outperforming IDW (RMSE = 0.2288, MSE = 0.0523, MAPE = 1.24%). The Kriging model effectively represented the gradual spatial decay of seismic energy, identifying Aceh Singkil and northern Simeulue as the most earthquake-prone zones, consistent with regional tectonic patterns. These findings confirm that incorporating spatial autocorrelation enhances interpolation accuracy and geophysical interpretation. The study establishes Kriging as a reliable tool for seismic hazard mapping and provides valuable insights for disaster preparedness, infrastructure planning, and future geostatistical applications in earthquake risk assessment.