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All Journal Regress: Journal of Economics & Management
Siti Muzayyanah
Universitas Ahmad Dahlan
Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Analisis Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Kinerja Ekspor terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia 1993-2023 Siti Muzayyanah
Regress: Journal of Economics & Management Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026)
Publisher : Medan Resource Center

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57251/reg.v6i2.2269

Abstract

Exports are widely recognised as an important driver of economic growth, yet their performance may also depend on macroeconomic and monetary conditions whose effects can vary in direction and magnitude. This study examines how investment, inflation, the M2 money supply, the trade balance, and the exchange rate affect Indonesian exports, identifying which factors exert statistically significant effects and whether these are positive or negative. It uses annual time-series data for 1993–2023 from Statistics Indonesia (BPS), Bank Indonesia, and the World Bank. The study treats exports as the dependent variable and the five macroeconomic indicators as explanatory variables, estimating their relationships through ordinary least squares (OLS) in EViews. The results show that investment and the exchange rate exert statistically significant negative effects on exports, whereas the M2 money supply has a positive effect. Inflation and the trade balance, by contrast, have no statistically significant effects. Taken together, the findings indicate that the selected macroeconomic and monetary factors do not influence export performance uniformly. The study concludes that policymakers should support exports by facilitating firms’ participation in export activities and developing new markets abroad.
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