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Analisis Tren Migrasi Risen, Perkawinan, dan Fertilitas di Indonesia Tahun 2010-2025 Luthfatul Latifah Latifah; Auliya Uswatun Nizak; Nada Fitri Alilah; Shabrina Khoirunnisa; Lucia Rita Indrawati; Rebecca Cindy Sartika
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 2 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i2.14848

Abstract

This study aims to analyze trends in recent migration, marriage, and fertility in Indonesia during the 2010-2025 period as part of the ongoing demographic transition. This study employs a quantitative descriptive approach using the Miles and Huberman interactive analysis model. Data were collected through literature studies using secondary data obtained from publications of Statistics Indonesia (BPS) and the World Bank. The results show that recent migration in Indonesia tends to decline, indicating changes in population mobility patterns. Marriage indicators also exhibit different trends, where the Crude Marriage Rate (CMR) and General Marriage Rate (GMR) tend to decrease, while the proportion of ever married women aged 10 years and above shows an increasing trend. Meanwhile, fertility tends to decline, reflecting changes in reproductive behavior and family formation patterns. These findings indicate that Indonesia is experiencing a demographic transition characterized by changes in mobility, marriage behavior, and fertility patterns. The implications of this study highlight the need for adaptive population policies that support balanced regional development, strengthen family resilience, and anticipate future demographic challenges, including population ageing and changes in labor force composition.