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Analisis Inequality Trap Dalam Menjelaskan Kemiskinan Di Jawa Barat Tahun 2020-2025 Decapryo Rivian Belo; Azka Annisa Ramadhani; Angel Oktavia Br Tampubolon
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2026 No 1 (2026): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2026
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2026i1.2824

Abstract

Poverty is a multidimensional issue influenced by inequality and human development. This study analyzes the effects of the Open Unemployment Rate (TPT), Human Development Index (HDI), and Gini Ratio on poverty across 27 regencies/cities in West Java from 2020 to 2025. The study employs panel data regression using the Random Effects Model (REM) and the robust Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) method to account for spatial cross-sectional dependence. The results indicate that HDI and the Gini Ratio have significant effects on poverty. The substantial increase in the Gini Ratio coefficient in the SUR model provides evidence of an inequality trap mechanism, in which inequality systematically hinders poverty alleviation. Therefore, poverty alleviation in West Java requires progressive redistributive policies, labor formalization, and the equalization of human capabilities across regions.