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All Journal Formosa Journal of Science and Technology (FJST)
Joseph Robert Giri
Poltekad
Humanities Computer Science & IT Education Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Social Sciences

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The Strait of Hormuz as a Strategic Choke Point: An Analysis of the Risks of Global Energy Supply Disruption and Its Implications for Macroeconomic Stability Joseph Robert Giri
Formosa Journal of Science and Technology Vol. 5 No. 7 (2026): July 2026
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/fjst.v5i7.124

Abstract

The Strait of Hormuz is a strategic chokepoint that plays a vital role in maintaining the sustainability of global energy distribution and international economic stability. This research focuses on the dynamics of the risk of energy supply disruption due to the escalation of geopolitical conflict in the Persian Gulf region and its implications for the global macroeconomic system. Sub-focuses include the role of sea power, naval diplomacy, energy supply chain disruptions, and the transmission of global economic pressures. The research aims to analyze the characteristics of the Strait of Hormuz as a strategic chokepoint and explain the non-linear interaction between maritime conflict and economic stability. The research approach uses system dynamics through dynamic thinking with explanatory qualitative methods. Data were obtained through strategic literature studies, reports from international energy agencies, and causal relationship analysis. The findings indicate that disruption of energy routes produces systemic effects through feedback mechanisms and delay effects, impacting energy price volatility, global inflation, and economic instability. Sea power and naval diplomacy serve as stabilization instruments in maintaining the security of global energy routes
Modern War Strategy and Economic Independence: An Analysis of the US–Israel vs. Iran Conflict from the Perspective of Global Economic Disruption Joseph Robert Giri; Kup Yanto Setiono
Formosa Journal of Science and Technology Vol. 5 No. 7 (2026): July 2026
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/fjst.v5i7.116

Abstract

This study analyzes modern warfare strategies used in the US–Israel versus Iran conflict and their implications for global economic stability. The main problem is the lack of an analytical model that integrates the military, energy geopolitics, and global economic dimensions in a single analytical model. The research gap so far shows the dominance of partial and linear approaches. This study, however, utilizes Clausewitz's theory, structural realism, deterrence, and complex interdependence with a system dynamics approach. Previous studies tended to be sectoral, while this study is integrative. A qualitative explanatory methodology with causal loop diagrams was used, based on data from OPEC, the IMF, and the IEA, and expert interviews. The results demonstrate a non-linear relationship through feedback mechanisms between conflict, supply chain disruptions, and global inflation. The analysis confirms that deterrence serves as a systemic balancing element. This study concludes that modern warfare functions as a global economic and political instrument. The novelty of this study lies in its non-linear integrative model. This research contributes theoretically and practically, with implications for energy independence policies and national defense strategies to address an increasingly complex spectrum of threats
Co-Authors Kup Yanto Setiono