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All Journal BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Inayati, Syarifah
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Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Transportation

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PREDIKSI JUMLAH PESERTA BPJS PENERIMA BANTUAN IURAN (PBI) APBN MENGGUNAKAN METODE FUZZY TIME SERIES CHENG bakri, Rahmawati; Inayati, Syarifah; Yuliana, Yuliana; Hanafiah, Anggi
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 15 No 2 (2021): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (577.949 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol15iss2pp373-384

Abstract

BPJS merupakan salah satu badan Penjaminan Kesehatan yang ada di Indonesia. Jenis BPJS terdiri dari BPJS mandiri, BPJS PPU khusus untuk pekerja diperusahaan, dan BPJS PBI khusus masyarakat yang tidak mampu yang iurannya dibayarkan oleh pemerintah yang diditetapkan dalam APBN. Dari ketiga kategori tersebut jumlah kepesertaan BPJS PBI meningkat dari tahun ke tahunnya. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memprediksi jumlah peserta BPJS PBI pada tahun 2019 hingga tahun 2021 dengan menggunakan metode Fuzzy Time series Cheng. Fuzzy Time Series Cheng mempunyai cara yang sedikit berbeda dalam penentuan interval, menggunakan Fuzzy Logical Relationship (FLR) dengan memasukkan semua hubungan dan memberikan bobot berdasarkan pada urutan dan perulangan FLR yang sama. Perhitungan akurasi prediksi pada model ini menggunakan MAPE. Hasil dari penelitian ini diperoleh kenaikan peserta BPJS PBI APBN pada tahun 2019 sampai dengan 2021 sebesar 52.071 peserta dengan hasil MAPE 0,97% dan ketepatan hasil prediksi diperoleh sebesar 99,03%.
3-PARAMETER GAMMA REGRESSION MODEL FOR ANALYZING HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX OF CENTRAL JAVA PROVINCE Yasin, Hasbi; Inayati, Syarifah; Setiawan, Setiawan
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 1 (2022): BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (783.55 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss1pp171-180

Abstract

The number and quality of the population are one of the determining factors for the success of national development. The quality of the population of a region can be seen from Human Development Index (HDI) achieved by a region. The HDI is based on three basic dimensions: a long and healthy life, knowledge, and a decent standard of living. This study aimed to determine the factors influencing HDI in Central Java Province in 2018-2020. The data used tend to follow the 3-Parameter Gamma distribution, which implies the HDI is modeled with 3-Parameter Gamma regression. 3-Parameter Gamma Regression is a regression that explains the relationship among one or more predictor variables with response variables that follow the 3-Parameter Gamma distribution. This research also includes the preparation of algorithms and computations in modeling 3-parameter Gamma regression. The estimation of model parameters was carried out using Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Berndt Hall Hausman (BHHH) methods. HDI modeling with 3-Parameter Gamma regression produces a coefficient of determination of 61.58%. The results show that increasing HDI can be done by increasing the Pure Participation Rate (APM) for SMP/MTs, the ratio of SMP/MTs students, population density, Labor Force Participation Rate (TPAK), the percentage of households (RT) with access to water, drinking water, and the percentage of households (RT) that have their toilet facilities, as well as by reducing the student-teacher ratio of Junior High School(SMP)/Islamic Junior High School (MTs) and the Open Unemployment Rate (TPT).
Co-Authors Hanafiah, Anggi Hasbi Yasin Rahmawati Bakri Setiawan Setiawan Yuliana Yuliana