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Journal : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Dampak Pandemi Covid-19 terhadap Penduduk Usia Muda yang Tidak Bekerja, Bersekolah, Maupun Mengikuti Pelatihan (NEET) di Jawa Timur Purwa, Taly; Meidika, Yefin Amandri; Krismaningtyas, Yusi
Jurnal Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Vol 12 No 1 (2023): April
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52813/jei.v12i1.238

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengevaluasi pengaruh pandemi COVID-19 terhadap populasi muda yang tidak berpartisipasi dalam pekerjaan, pendidikan, atau pelatihan (NEET) di Jawa Timur dan empat wilayah, yaitu Madura, Mataraman, Padalungan, dan Arek. Regresi logistik diterapkan pada data mikro dari Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (SAKERNAS) Agustus 2019–2021. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pandemi COVID-19 pada tahun 2020 berdampak negatif pada angka NEET di tingkat provinsi dan Wilayah Mataraman. Meskipun demikian, dalam Era New Normal tahun 2021 kecenderungan pemuda untuk menjadi NEET justru menunjukkan penurunan, Variabel jenis kelamin serta interaksi umur dan pendidikan menunjukkan pengaruh yang berbeda di wilayahwilayah tersebut, tetapi variabel klasifikasi lokasi tempat tinggal, umur, status perkawinan, kegiatan, dan tingkat pendidikan kepala rumah tangga menunjukkan pengaruh yang konsisten di semua wilayah.
Investigating inflation dynamics in Indonesia: Identifying the inflation spillover for enhancing regional inflation control Purwa, Taly; Dariwardani, Ni Made Inna; Cendekia, Diyang Gita
Jurnal Ikatan Sarjana Ekonomi Indonesia Vol 14 No 1 (2025): April
Publisher : Jurnal Ekonomi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52813/jei.v14i1.569

Abstract

This study employs a hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curve (NKPC) model, comprising the dynamic panel, spatial dynamic panel, and semiparametric spatial dynamic panel models, to examine the dynamics of regional inflation in Indonesia from Q1 1997 to Q2 2023. The latter model, which employed the inverse distance weight (IDW), was identified as the most optimal model. The findings indicated that the lagged inflation and output gap variables transmitted a notable impact on regional inflation of Indonesia. Furthermore, the significance of the spatial spillover parameters indicates the existence of spatial regional inflation spillover in Indonesia. Jakarta, Central Java, and East Java represent the three most significant focal points of inflation dynamics in Indonesia, exerting the greatest influence on other regions. While, South Kalimantan, Jakarta, and East Java were the top three regions experiencing the greatest impact from inflationary pressures originating elsewhere. Through sensitivity analysis, it was found that a flattened Phillips curve was present throughout the period under study. It is therefore recommended that policies be intensified with a view to controlling prices, strengthening policy synergies, and improving the efficiency of goods distribution channels, both for the focal point and for regions experiencing inflationary pressures as a result of spillovers. Keywords: direct and indirect effect; inflation; non-linear model; semiparametric model; spatial spillover JEL Classification: C31; E31; F36