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MODEL JARINGAN SARAF TIRUAN UNTUK PREDIKSI PERMINTAAN PRODUK UMKM DI PEMATANG SIANTAR Sonang, Sahat; Sinaga, Kalvin
Jurnal Teknik Informasi dan Komputer (Tekinkom) Vol 7 No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Politeknik Bisnis Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37600/tekinkom.v7i2.1849

Abstract

This study aims to develop an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model in predicting demand for MSME products in Pematangsiantar to optimize production and inventory management. The main problem faced by MSME actors is demand uncertainty which causes excess or shortage of stock, thus affecting business efficiency. The ANN model is applied with a guided learning approach using the backpropagation algorithm to analyze demand patterns based on historical sales data. Data were obtained from the Cooperatives and MSMEs Office of Pematangsiantar City and interviews with business actors. The research process includes data collection and pre-processing, variable selection, data sharing, model development, training, optimization, and evaluation using the Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percent Error (MAPE) metrics. The results of the study show that the ANN model with the backpropagation algorithm is able to provide accurate demand predictions, with a MAPE value below 10%, which indicates very good forecasting. The implementation of this model helps make it easier for MSMEs to make strategic decisions related to production and inventory, thereby increasing competitiveness in the market.
Hybrid CNN Approach for Post-Disaster Building Damage Classification Using Satellite Imagery Sonang, Sahat; Yuhandri, Y; Tajuddin, Muhammad
Journal of Applied Data Sciences Vol 6, No 4: December 2025
Publisher : Bright Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47738/jads.v6i4.931

Abstract

Accurate post-disaster building damage assessment is critical for timely response and effective reconstruction planning. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning architecture that integrates Inception-ResNet-v2 and EfficientNetV2B0, designed to enhance post-disaster damage classification from high-resolution satellite imagery. The model leverages dual-stream feature extraction, followed by concatenated fully connected layers optimized with dropout and batch normalization to improve generalization and reduce overfitting. The objective is to outperform standard Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) models in terms of classification and segmentation performance across multiple damage categories: no damage, minor damage, major damage, destroyed, and unclassified. The model was trained and validated on the publicly available xView dataset, covering over 12,000 annotated images from various natural disasters. Comparative evaluation against ResNet, GoogleNet, DenseNet, and EfficientNet demonstrates that the proposed model achieves the highest accuracy (86%), precision (85%), recall (86%), and F1-score (84%). Furthermore, it outperforms all baseline models in segmentation metrics, achieving an Intersection over Union (IoU) score of 0.7749 and a Dice Similarity Coefficient (DSC) of 0.8726. The model also significantly reduces misclassification rates in critical categories such as “major damage” and “destroyed.” A Wilcoxon signed-rank test confirmed that these improvements are statistically significant (p 0.05) across all major performance indicators. The novelty of this study lies in the fusion of two state-of-the-art CNN backbones with tailored architectural modifications, yielding a robust and generalizable model suitable for automated disaster damage assessment. This research contributes a scalable deep learning approach that can be integrated into real-time or semi-automated disaster response systems, offering improved decision-making support in emergency contexts. The results affirm the model’s potential as a reliable tool in post-disaster scenarios and set a foundation for future work in multi-modal and real-time AI-based disaster management.