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Journal : Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics

Optimized extreme learning machine using genetic algorithm for short-term wind power prediction Mansoury, Ibtissame; El Bourakadi, Dounia; Yahyaouy, Ali; Boumhidi, Jaouad
Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics Vol 13, No 2: April 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/eei.v13i2.6476

Abstract

Through the much defiance facing energy today, it has become necessary to rely on wind energy as a source of unlimited renewable energies. However, energy planning and regulation require wind capacity forecasting, because oscillations of wind speed drastically affect directly power generation. Therefore, several scenarios must be provided to allow for estimating uncertainties. To deal with this problem, this paper exploits the major advantages of the regularized extreme learning machine algorithm (R-ELM) and thus proposes a model for predicting the wind energy generated for the next hour based on the time series of wind speed. The R-ELM is combined with the genetic algorithm which is designed to optimize the most important hyperparameter which is the number of hidden neurons. Thus, the proposed model aims to forecast the average wind power per hour based on the wind speed of the previous hours. The results obtained showed that the proposed method is much better than those reported in the literature concerning the precision of the prediction and the time convergence.
Accident black spots identification based on association rule mining Mbarek, Abdelilah; Jiber, Mouna; Yahyaouy, Ali; Sabri, Abdelouahed
Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics Vol 13, No 3: June 2024
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/eei.v13i3.6135

Abstract

This paper presents an analytical approach to identifying the important characteristics of accident black spots on Moroccan rural roads. An association rule mining method is applied to extract road spatial characteristics associated with fatal accidents. The weighted severity index was calculated for each section, which was then used to determine the severity levels of black spots. The apriori algorithm is applied to find the correlation between road characteristics and the severity levels of black spots. Then, a general rule selection method is proposed to identify the rules strongly associated with each severity level. The results show that the proposed approach is effective in identifying the most important factors contributing to accidents. Furthermore, it shows that the combination of several road characteristics, such as road width, road surface, and bridge presence, may contribute to fatal accidents. The general rule selection found that wet, bad surfaces, and narrow shoulders were significantly associated with accidents on rural roads. The findings of the present study can help develop effective strategies to reduce road accidents and thus improve road safety in the country.