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The Prevalence of Stunting, Poverty, and Economic Growth in Indonesia: A Dynamic Panel Data Causality Analysis Kustanto, Andi
Journal of Developing Economies Vol. 6 No. 2 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jde.v6i2.22358

Abstract

In recent years, policy discussions and debates have emphasised the efficiency of development policies to translate economic growth into sustainable economic development. One of the main aspects in this regard is achieving improvement in child nutrition through economic development. Nevertheless, there is a scarcity of literature that empirically verifies the causality between stunting, poverty, and economic growth in 34 provinces in Indonesia using Klassen's typology analysis and Panel VECM. This study indicates that the prevalence of stunting has a direct causality towards poverty and economic growth in the long-term by 0.02%. Handling high the prevalence of stunting needs to be focused on in all provinces in Indonesia. Poverty directly affects the stunting prevalence and economic growth in the long-term by 0.06%. The percentage of the population, poverty outside Java, including Nusa Tenggara, Moluccas, and Papua, is also higher than in Java. Therefore, efforts to tackle poverty should be more focused on these areas. Economic growth has a direct causality to the prevalence of stunting and poverty by 0.57%. It proves that the country's economic growth is accompanied by socioeconomic development and improving the poor's livelihoods and welfare. Can also recommend specific nutrition and sensitive nutrition interventions to impact the massive reduction of stunting in Indonesia. Keywords: Stunting, Poverty, Economic Growth, IndonesiaJEL: I10; I18; I32; O10; O15; P36
DINAMIKA PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK DAN KUALITAS AIR DI INDONESIA Kustanto, Andi
Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol 20, No 1 (2020): Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Publisher : EP FEB UNS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (376.727 KB) | DOI: 10.20961/jiep.v20i1.35143

Abstract

Population growth and urban development continue to increase at an unprecedented rate and create pressure on the quality of clean water. Previous empirical studies have shown that un-controlled population growth has a negative and significant impact on the quality of clean water. In the case of Indonesia, the population growth trend has decreased every year, but not followed by an index of water quality that should have increased. This study examines popula-tion growth in the water quality index in 33 provinces in Indonesia during 2013-2017 using the panel method of fixed-effect models. This study found that population growth has a nega-tive and significant effect on the water quality index in Indonesia. Every 1000 population in-crease will reduce the water quality index by 0.04 (ceteris paribus), which indicates that there is a need for control of the population growth rate to be more aware of the preservation of a sustainable environment.Keywords: Population Growth, Water Quality Index, Environment
Fiscal allocation and extreme poverty reduction: Patterns of regional targeting mismatch in Banten Province, Indonesia Sutjipto, Hady; Ginanjar, Rah Adi Fahmi; Kustanto, Andi
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 14 No. 3 (2026): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/ppd.v14i3.54050

Abstract

Decentralisation is expected to bring government closer to society, enabling fiscal resources to be directed toward public goods that support economic development and improve social welfare. However, this expectation remains underexamined in the context of extreme poverty reduction within a single Indonesian province, particularly when fiscal data are used to distinguish poverty-specific spending from general expenditure. Our study investigates the alignment between fiscal allocation and the burden of extreme poverty across regencies/municipalities in Banten Province, Indonesia, during 2022–2024. Using administrative fiscal tagging data from the BPKAD, combined with poverty data from Statistics Indonesia and P3KE, we applied descriptive statistics, Pearson correlation analysis, year-on-year change analysis, and quadrant-based targeting analysis. The findings reveal a negative and increasingly strong correlation between the poverty burden and per capita fiscal allocation, from −0.24 in 2022 to −0.61 in 2024, indicating a growing divergence between extreme poverty needs and the intensity of fiscal allocation. However, this pattern should be interpreted with caution because the number of extremely poor individuals constitutes the denominator of the per capita allocation measure. Kabupaten Tangerang, which has the largest population living in extreme poverty, persistently occupied the High Burden–Low Allocation quadrant throughout the observation period. These findings differ from studies using aggregate expenditure indicators that generally report positive fiscal–poverty alignment in Indonesia, suggesting that the choice of fiscal measurement may influence conclusions regarding targeting alignment. Rather than establishing a causal effect of fiscal spending on poverty reduction, our study demonstrates that fiscal tagging data can serve as a preliminary diagnostic tool for evaluating targeting alignment within a decentralised governance system.