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Journal : Jurnal Manajemen, Ekonomi, Hukum, Kewirausahaan, Kesehatan, Pendidikan dan Informatika (MANEKIN)

Analisis Peramalan Produksi Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Dengan Pendekatan Model Arima (Autoregresif Integrated Moving Average) Di PT Perkebunan Nusantara IV Regional 7 KSO Alfajar, Muhamad; Erlina, Rr; Asri Siti Ambarwati, Dwi
Jurnal Manajemen, Ekonomi, Hukum, Kewirausahaan, Kesehatan, Pendidikan dan Informatika Vol 3 No 4 : Juni (2025): Jurnal Manajemen, Ekonomi, Hukum, Kewirausahaan, Kesehatan, Pendidikan dan
Publisher : Shofanah Media Berkah

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Abstract

Crude Palm Oil (CPO) production forecasting is an important element in supply chain management and company strategic planning. This study aims to forecast CPO production at PT Perkebunan Nusantara IV Regional 7 KSO using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) method. Historical data of CPO production from 2017 to 2025 was analyzed using EViews 12 software. The analysis begins with data stationarity testing using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test. The selection of the optimal ARIMA model is determined based on the small Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Schwarz Criterion (SC), and large R-squared values. After identifying and estimating the model, it is found that the ARIMA (1,0,0) model is the best model that can be used to forecast CPO production. This model has been tested with the Lijung-Box Test and White Noise Test, which shows that the residuals are random, so it is valid for forecasting.The forecasting results show a pattern of fluctuations in CPO production from year to year, with an increase in production in certain periods. This forecasting is expected to be a reference for companies in preparing the Company's Work Plan and Budget (RKAP) and optimizing production strategies to deal with changes in demand.
Analisis Strategi Bisnis Dengan Pendekatan Swot Pada Rumah Makan Dzaky Group Aji Setiawan, Kurnia; Erlina, Rr; Firdaus, Luthfi
Jurnal Manajemen, Ekonomi, Hukum, Kewirausahaan, Kesehatan, Pendidikan dan Informatika Vol 3 No 4 : Juni (2025): Jurnal Manajemen, Ekonomi, Hukum, Kewirausahaan, Kesehatan, Pendidikan dan
Publisher : Shofanah Media Berkah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the appropriate business strategy for Rumah Makan Dzaky Group in facing the culinary business competition in Bandar Lampung City. The research method used is a descriptive qualitative approach utilizing the SWOT analysis tool (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats). Data were collected through observation, interviews, and documentation involving five respondents, consisting of one manager, two employees, and two customers of Rumah Makan Dzaky Group. The results of the study, based on the IE analysis, show that the strategic position of Rumah Makan Dzaky Group is in Quadrant V of the IE Matrix, which  corresponds to  the  Hold  and  Maintain  strategy.  Strategies that  can  be implemented include market penetration through enhanced digital marketing, product development to meet consumer trends, and improving coordination and employee training to address internal weaknesses. Based on the SWOT analysis, thirteen strategic alternatives were identified, providing strategic direction for the company to enhance its competitiveness and maintain its presence amid the increasingly competitive culinary industry.