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The Role of Capital Inflow through Saving-Investment Framework: The Case of Indonesia Rufita Sri Hasanah
Jurnal Perencanaan Pembangunan: The Indonesian Journal of Development Planning Vol. 4 No. 1 (2020): April 2020
Publisher : Ministry of National Development Planning Republic of Indonesia/Bappenas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36574/jpp.v4i1.95

Abstract

As major developing countries have limited domestic saving to generate capital accumulation, capital inflow plays substantial role to provide external financing. Several landmark literatures provide an empirical evidence that capital inflow contributed to the acceleration of economic growth through technology transfer, enhanced innovation, and capital accumulation. This research examines the role of capital inflow for the case of Indonesia using saving-investment relationship with quarterly data from 2000 to 2018. This study is comprised of three parts to measure the pattern of capital inflow in overall period, pre-global financial crisis, and post-crisis. Building on previous literature, this study will contribute to fill the gaps in existing literatures by employing error correction model (ECM) based on saving-investment framework of Feldstein-Horioka. This study found that over the whole sample period and post-crisis, both domestic saving and national saving in short-run, established low significant coefficient which signify high capital mobility, while in the long-run, domestic investment and saving have one-to-one relationship, which does not necessarily imply low capital mobility. The result on the pre-crisis period suggested that domestic saving and domestic investment is not statistically correlated for both short-run and long-run as there is not enough evidence to reject null hypothesis. This study confirms the growth theory model that suggests saving will be equal to investment in the steady state condition and the imbalance of saving and investment will be only transitory.
Mapping Indonesia’s Competitiveness and Specialization with Its Major Trading Partners Rufita Sri Hasanah
Bappenas Working Papers Vol 3 No 1 (2020): Maret 2020
Publisher : Kementerian Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional (Bappenas)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47266/bwp.v3i1.59

Abstract

Seiring dengan perkembangan ekonomi global yang memberikan dampak pada prospek pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia, pemetaan terhadap daya saing dan spesialisasi perdagangan dengan mitra dagang utama Indonesia sangat penting untuk menentukan pola perdagangan antar negara. Studi ini berfokus untuk menggali keunggulan komparatif komoditas Indonesia dengan mitra dagang utama sehingga dapat diketahui sektor-sektor unggulan yang menjadi penyumbang pertumbuhan ekonomi. Studi ini menggunakan analisis model perdagangan yang terdiri dari model gravitasi, Ricardian model, Heckscher-Ohlin model, Standard Trade model, dan New Trade model untuk menganalisis pola perdagangan Indonesia dengan mitra dagang utama.