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Prospek dan Tantangan Ekspor Indonesia ke Pasar Non-Tradisional: Mengukur Daya Saing Produk Indonesia di Pasar UEA Nurhafizhah, Riska; Hirawan, Fajar B
Administratio Vol 12 No 1 (2021): Administratio: Jurnal Ilmiah Administrasi Publik dan Pembangunan
Publisher : Jurusan Ilmu Administrasi Publik, Universitas Lampung

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Abstract

The US-China Trade War and the COVID-19 pandemic are unprecedented incidents involving Indonesia's traditional markets as the main actors, i.e. the US and China which impacted Indonesia's economy and trade indirectly. Market diversification to new market or non-traditional market is one way out that can be done to minimize the impact of the global crisis on the country, when traditional markets are unreliable, such as the United Arab Emirates (UAE) that has made a positive contribution both in investment and trade for Indonesia in the midst of a pandemic. However, Indonesia's exports to the UAE experienced a significant decline in 2018 after theprevious two years continued to increase. So that knowing the competitiveness of Indonesia's export products in the UAE is the purpose of this study. This research answers the prospects and challenges of Indonesian export products in the UAE by measuring the export performance in 2016-2018 using the Constant Market Share (CMS) and Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) analysis methods. This research uses descriptive quantitative method with secondary data and triangulation of data sources, methods, and theories as the validity and reliability methods. The results of this study indicate that the results of CMS and RCA are different so that the prospects and challenges for Indonesian products are also explained by the Indonesian approach and trade policies which lead to the conclusion that the UAE is a potential market to become non-traditional market for Indonesian economic development when its traditional markets are unreliable.
Examining the Regional Economic Integration: Analysis of Cross-border Trade among ASEAN, China, and India Abbassy, Sadia; Hameedi, M Luthfi; Hirawan, Fajar B
International Journal of Management, Entrepreneurship, Social Science and Humanities Vol. 8 No. 2 (2025): January - June Volume
Publisher : Research Synergy Foundation

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31098/ijmesh.v8i2.3172

Abstract

Researchers have studied economic integration since the late 20th century as global markets become interconnected. ASEAN, China, and India are critical political, economic, and infrastructural players, with a growing middle class of over 3.50 billion projected to rise as the fourth-largest economy by 2030. This study examines trade policies, GDP, FDI, proximity, and regional agreements to assess trade flows and economic integration. This study uses a gravity model with panel data regression (1999-2023) to examine regional trade flows. The gravity model estimates the impact of economic size and distance on trade volumes, whereas panel data regression evaluates the relationship between trade policies and economic integration. Data include trade statistics from secondary sources. The finding reveals that economic integration improves trade volume through aligned policies and economic interdependencies. The gravity model highlights that economic size and proximity sustain trade flows, whereas FDI shows a positive correlation, indicating the potential for more profound integration; the trade potential model examines how trade policies and economic size affect intra-regional commerce, a topic rarely studied in the literature. This study calculates trade potential, offering insights for policymakers to improve trade efficiency. Unlike past research that has isolated ASEAN, China, and India, this study provides a comprehensive regional perspective. However, these limitations exclude exchange rates, technology, language, tariffs, and post-2023 applicability.