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Journal : Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC)

Algoritma Bayesian Regulation untuk Prediksi Kemiskinan Sebagai Evaluasi Awal Mendukung Kebijakan Ekonomi Hijau Firzada, Fahmi; Darma, Surya
Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Vol 6 No 1 (2024): November 2024
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/josyc.v6i1.6011

Abstract

This study aims to utilize the Bayesian Regulation algorithm to predict poverty in Simalungun, Pematangsiantar, Asahan, Batu Bara, and Tebing Tinggi, as an initial step to evaluate the Green Economy policy. Poverty remains a serious issue, particularly in Pematangsiantar and Simalungun, where social inequality and limited access to basic services are prevalent. High poverty rates and limited resources present significant challenges to improving community welfare. The Green Economy policy could be a potential solution to reduce the negative environmental impact of development and enhance community well-being. This research uses secondary time-series poverty data from 2012 to 2023, obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics of North Sumatra, based on the basic needs approach. The applied Machine Learning algorithm is Bayesian Regulation, used to predict poverty levels in these areas based on five architectural models (10-5-1, 10-10-1, 10-15-1, 10-20-1, and 10-25-1). The 10-25-1 model was selected as the best model due to its smallest MSE (error), 0.00218055780, compared to the other four models. This study aims to provide insights into the development of poverty in these regions and offer an initial evaluation of the effectiveness of the Green Economy policy. It is also expected to propose more effective policy recommendations for reducing poverty and supporting environmental sustainability, particularly in Pematangsiantar and Simalungun.
Pemanfaatan Algoritma Levenberg-Marquardt untuk Analisis Prediksi Persentase Penduduk yang Melakukan Pengobatan Sendiri Darma, Surya; Firzada, Fahmi
Journal of Computer System and Informatics (JoSYC) Vol 6 No 1 (2024): November 2024
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi (FKPT)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/josyc.v6i1.6153

Abstract

Self-medication is a practice in which individuals use drugs or administer treatments without a doctor's prescription or medical supervision. This phenomenon has become a significant health issue in Indonesia, particularly in the city of Pematangsiantar and Simalungun Regency, where many residents tend to self-medicate without receiving adequate medical consultation. Therefore, the aim of this study is to analyze the predicted percentage of health independence development among residents who self-medicate in Pematangsiantar and Simalungun Regency using the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm. The research data consists of time-series data on the percentage of residents self-medicating in Pematangsiantar and Simalungun Regency from 2018 to 2023, obtained from the Central Statistics Agency of North Sumatra. The analysis was conducted using five architecture models: 4-5-1, 4-10-1, 4-15-1, 4-20-1, and 4-25-1. The results show that the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm with the 4-15-1 architecture model provided the best performance, with the lowest Mean Squared Error (MSE) value of 0.0268691174 compared to the other architecture models. This study is expected to assist local governments by providing information on the development of the percentage of residents who self-medicate in Pematangsiantar and Simalungun Regency, enabling them to formulate the best policies for improving public health in the region in the future. This research also contributes to the development of artificial intelligence-based health prediction methods, particularly for analyzing the percentage of self-medicating residents in complex and dynamic regional contexts.