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All Journal Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business
Oktaviani, Defy
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Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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POLICY RATES PASS-THROUGH IN INDONESIA’S DUAL BANKING SYSTEM: DOES BUSINESS CYCLE MATTER? Triwibowo, Sugeng; Oktaviani, Defy; Ginanjar, Adhitya; Ardiansyah, Danu F.
Journal of Islamic Monetary Economics and Finance Vol. 8 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Bank Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21098/jimf.v8i1.1424

Abstract

This paper examines the pass-through of the policy rate to conventional and Islamic bank rates during the recessionary and expansionary episodes for the case of Indonesia. Applying an error-correction modelling to monthly data from June 2014 to April 2021, our findings confirm that the interest rate pass-through is sensitive to the business cycle for both conventional and Islamic banks. The policy rate pass-through to deposit rates is higher during the recession for both banking types. We also note that the lending rates of conventional banks fully adjust to the policy rate in the recessionary phase. The findings for Islamic financing rates are interesting. Namely, they tend to move inversely with the policy rates during the expansionary period. Meanwhile, depending on the rates, they are either over-responsive or less responsive during the recessionary phase. Finally, the degree of short-run adjustment in most banking rates is not influenced by the business cycle. These findings suggest that Islamic banking rates are less synchronized to the monetary policy rate, indicating that sharia-based banking barely supports counter-cyclical monetary policy.
Nonlinear Analysis of Growth’s Effect on Debt: Finding the Threshold Triwibowo, Sugeng; Oktaviani, Defy; Nurfika
Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business Vol 39 No 2 (2024): May
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22146/jieb.v39i2.5819

Abstract

Introduction/Main Objectives: This paper explores the nonlinear effect of economic growth on the accumulation of public debt for groups of countries, based on their income levels, by finding its threshold estimator. Background Problems: The existing literature has discussed the debt's effect on growth intensively. Thus, empirical analysis to observe the inverse relationship between both variables is needed. Novelty: This paper confirms the negative and nonlinear impact of economic growth on public debt, and finds the threshold levels of economic growth on debt in high-income countries (HIC) and low-and middle-income countries (LMIC). Research Methods: We employed OLS panel regression with data covering 62 countries from 1970 to 2015. The fixed-effect panel threshold model is used to estimate the threshold level of economic growth that affects debt accumulation. Finding/Results: We found that economic growth reduces the public debt in the long run. In HIC, we find two threshold levels of economic growth, at 2.92% and at 8.41%. Moreover, in LMIC, a single threshold is found at 11.61%. Conclusion: It is proven that maintaining robust economic growth could reduce debt accumulation in the long run, the magnitude of the impacts varies between HIC and LMIC.
Co-Authors Adhitya Ginanjar, Adhitya Ardiansyah, Danu F. Nurfika Sugeng Triwibowo