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All Journal Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan JURNAL EKONOMI DAN BISNIS AIRLANGGA EkBis: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Odusanya, Ibrahim Abidemi
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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EXCHANGE RATE FLUCTUATIONS AND NIGERIA'S CAPITAL ACCOUNT Odusanya, Ibrahim Abidemi; Adesoye, Adesola Bolaji; Gbadamosi, Ayinla Idris
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan JESP Volume 19 Nomor 1, April 2018
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.19.1.4297

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on the capital account in Nigeria from 1980 to 2015. The data used for the study were retrieved from the Central Bank of Nigeria Bulletin. The study employed Johansen co-integration test, Error Correction Model (ECM) and Fully Modified Ordinary Least Square (FMOLS). Evidence from the study shows that exchange rate has no effect on the capital account. As a result of the study, production in the Nigerian economy must be encouraged through availability of domestic credit while market determined interest rate should be encouraged to stimulate economic growth and investment
DISAGGREGATED TRADE OPENNESS ON SHADOW ECONOMY IN NIGERIA: DOES INSTITUTIONAL QUALITY MATTER? Adegboyega, Soliu Bidemi; Ogede, Jimoh Sina; Odusanya, Ibrahim Abidemi; Ajayi, Felix Odunayo; Atoyebi, Olayinka E.
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Airlangga Vol. 32 No. 2 (2022): JURNAL EKONOMI DAN BISNIS AIRLANGGA
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jeba.V32I22022.187-203

Abstract

Introduction: It is likely that enterprises and entrepreneurs will be encouraged to engage in the formal sector as economies integrate more fully into the global economy. Thus, we begin our investigation by looking at the relationship between Nigeria's shadow economy and disaggregated trade openness. Based on Nigeria's inadequate institutional quality, our second purpose is to conduct further research on the role institutional quality plays in moderating the relationship between its shadow economy and disaggregated trade openness between 1991 and 2018. Methods: The fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and Granger causality methods are used in this paper to investigate the nexus and causal effect in time-series analysis. Results: The coefficients of institutional quality, import-to-GDP ratio, government expenditure, and financial development all have an adverse impact on Nigeria's shadow economy. The inflation proxy with the consumer price index, economic growth, and the export-to-GDP ratio all improve Nigeria's shadow economy. The findings of interaction between the import-export ratio and the quality of institutions positively affect the Nigerian shadow economy. The pairwise Granger causality exercise comes after the regression analysis. Conclusion and suggestion: The study concludes that the size of Nigeria's shadow economy is influenced by institutional quality, import trade, government expenditures, and financial development. Similarly, we find no causal relationship between disaggregated trade openness in Nigeria and institutional quality. As a result, policymakers and the country's government must act quickly and decisively to reduce the impact of informal activities on the country's economy.
Domestic Credit and Inflation Rate Shock: A New Empiric Evidence from Nigeria Adegboyega, Soliu Bidemi; Odusanya, Ibrahim Abidemi; Ogede, Jimoh Sina; Atoyebi, Olayinka Esther
EkBis: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 7 No. 1 (2023): EkBis: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Islam, UIN Sunan Kalijaga Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14421/EkBis.2023.7.1.1649

Abstract

The study evaluates the relationship between domestic credit and Nigeria's inflation rate analysing data spanning from 1986 through 2020. The research is ex-post in nature, hence the study employed statistical analysis models to build a predictive assessment for inflation, leveraging on the Autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) and the Granger Causality test to ascertain the magnitude of the association and the direction of causation, separately. The study confirms the complexities of Nigeria's relationship between domestic credit and inflation, with economic growth maintaining a positive and insignificant relationship with inflation (INF), while credit to the private sector (CPS) and interest rates have a negative and insignificant relationship with inflation in the long run. Furthermore, in the short run the coefficient of error correction model showed a negative sign, suggesting a short run effect between inflation rate and domestic credit.  The findings reaffirm the one-way relationship between inflation and private sector domestic credit. It is advised that funding tools be used efficiently and effectively to fulfil desired investment, competitiveness, and economic growth drives.
Co-Authors Adegboyega, Soliu Bidemi Adesoye, Adesola Bolaji Ajayi, Felix Odunayo Atoyebi, Olayinka E. Atoyebi, Olayinka Esther Gbadamosi, Ayinla Idris Ogede, Jimoh Sina