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Fiscal Policy, Private Consumption, and Economic Growth among the Economic Community of West African States Adelowokan, Oluwaseyi Adedayo
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan Vol 22, No 2: October 2021
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18196/jesp.v22i2.10966

This study examines the impact of fiscal policy and private consumption on economic growth among the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) spanning from 1988 to 2017 using the Panel Pool Mean Group. The results depicted that the government’s recurrent expenditure for growth was inversely but significant to economic growth, while capital expenditure was positively and statistically significant to explain economic growth in Nigeria. It can be seen that capital expenditure is vital for economic growth. Besides, private consumption’s negative effect on economic growth was a disconnection between economic output and private consumption. The results further showed that tax revenues in ECOWAS countries had a positive and significant influence on economic growth. Therefore, the study recommends re-visit government policy(ies) channeling government spending to increase ECOWAS output rates and spur regional economic growth.

Exploring the interaction of trade openness, income inequality, and poverty in Nigeria Maku, Olukayode Emmanuel; Ogede, Jimoh Sina; Adelowokan, Oluwaseyi Adedayo; Oshinowo, Bamidele Olaitan
Journal of Enterprise and Development (JED) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2021): Journal of Enterprise and Development (JED)
Publisher : Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business of Universitas Islam Negeri Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20414/jed.v3i2.3966

The literature on the nexus between trade openness, income inequality and poverty appears conspicuously and of diverse outcomes. Perhaps, the mixed findings may be attributed to the methodology and economic structure of the country in view. The current study examines the trade openness on income inequality and poverty in Nigeria between 1981 and 2019 using Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) methodology. Our findings show that trade openness had different effects on inequality and poverty in Nigeria in the short and long run. While its relationship with inequality is a short-run phenomenon, it had a long-run relationship with poverty. Overall, trade openness had a declining effect on inequality and poverty. In the former, its impact was not statistically significant. However, the gains of trade openness on inequality and poverty were reversed when inequality influenced trade openness. In essence, with the influence of inequality, trade openness had an increasing effect on poverty. As a result, this study makes several recommendations to policymakers. To begin, a policy framework must be established to ensure that Nigerian trade is integrated with the rest of the world. Evidence from this study has suggested that policies such as restricting trade through border closures must not feature as a policy option as long as one of the goals of the economy is poverty reduction and reduction in inequality.

Trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development: Testing for causality using Dumitrescu-Hurlin approach Balogun, Adewale Musliudeen; Adelowokan, Oluwaseyi Adedayo; Ajayi, Felix Odunayo; Ogede, Jimoh Sina
Journal of Enterprise and Development (JED) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2024): Journal of Enterprise and Development (JED)
Publisher : Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business of Universitas Islam Negeri Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20414/jed.v6i2.8572

Purpose — This research paper explores the causal links between trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development, shedding light on the potential impact of trade policies on poverty reduction and sustainable development in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region.Method — We utilize the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) panel causality test, a robust econometric approach capable of discerning the direction and magnitude of causal relationships among variables. We employ a comprehensive dataset spanning from 1986 to 2020, covering ECOWAS countries, to conduct a rigorous empirical analysis.Result — The empirical findings from the DH causality analysis reveal a unidirectional relationship between trade openness, human capital investment, and both sustainable development and poverty. Additionally, bidirectional causality relationships are observed between human capital investment and poverty. The results also highlight the absence of a consistent and uniform pattern of Granger causality between poverty and sustainability across individual West African economies. This heterogeneity underscores the need for customized policy approaches based on empirical evidence derived from country-specific causality analyses, rather than adopting one-size-fits-all solutions.Novelty — This research stands out by exploring the causal connections among trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development within the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region. The adoption of the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) panel causality test enhances the empirical analysis, offering a comprehensive understanding of both the direction and magnitude of these relationships.

Exploring the interaction of trade openness, income inequality, and poverty in Nigeria Maku, Olukayode Emmanuel; Ogede, Jimoh Sina; Adelowokan, Oluwaseyi Adedayo; Oshinowo, Bamidele Olaitan
Journal of Enterprise and Development (JED) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2021): Journal of Enterprise and Development (JED)
Publisher : Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business of Universitas Islam Negeri Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20414/jed.v3i2.3966

The literature on the nexus between trade openness, income inequality and poverty appears conspicuously and of diverse outcomes. Perhaps, the mixed findings may be attributed to the methodology and economic structure of the country in view. The current study examines the trade openness on income inequality and poverty in Nigeria between 1981 and 2019 using Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) methodology. Our findings show that trade openness had different effects on inequality and poverty in Nigeria in the short and long run. While its relationship with inequality is a short-run phenomenon, it had a long-run relationship with poverty. Overall, trade openness had a declining effect on inequality and poverty. In the former, its impact was not statistically significant. However, the gains of trade openness on inequality and poverty were reversed when inequality influenced trade openness. In essence, with the influence of inequality, trade openness had an increasing effect on poverty. As a result, this study makes several recommendations to policymakers. To begin, a policy framework must be established to ensure that Nigerian trade is integrated with the rest of the world. Evidence from this study has suggested that policies such as restricting trade through border closures must not feature as a policy option as long as one of the goals of the economy is poverty reduction and reduction in inequality.

Trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development: Testing for causality using Dumitrescu-Hurlin approach Balogun, Adewale Musliudeen; Adelowokan, Oluwaseyi Adedayo; Ajayi, Felix Odunayo; Ogede, Jimoh Sina
Journal of Enterprise and Development (JED) Vol. 6 No. 2 (2024): Journal of Enterprise and Development (JED)
Publisher : Faculty of Islamic Economics and Business of Universitas Islam Negeri Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20414/jed.v6i2.8572

Purpose — This research paper explores the causal links between trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development, shedding light on the potential impact of trade policies on poverty reduction and sustainable development in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region.Method — We utilize the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) panel causality test, a robust econometric approach capable of discerning the direction and magnitude of causal relationships among variables. We employ a comprehensive dataset spanning from 1986 to 2020, covering ECOWAS countries, to conduct a rigorous empirical analysis.Result — The empirical findings from the DH causality analysis reveal a unidirectional relationship between trade openness, human capital investment, and both sustainable development and poverty. Additionally, bidirectional causality relationships are observed between human capital investment and poverty. The results also highlight the absence of a consistent and uniform pattern of Granger causality between poverty and sustainability across individual West African economies. This heterogeneity underscores the need for customized policy approaches based on empirical evidence derived from country-specific causality analyses, rather than adopting one-size-fits-all solutions.Novelty — This research stands out by exploring the causal connections among trade openness, poverty, and sustainable development within the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region. The adoption of the Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) panel causality test enhances the empirical analysis, offering a comprehensive understanding of both the direction and magnitude of these relationships.

IMPACT OF TRADE LIBERALISATION REGIME AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA Adeniwura, Oluwatoba Oyedele; Onanuga, Abayomi Toyin; Adelowokan, Oluwaseyi Adedayo
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Airlangga Vol. 35 No. 2 (2025): JURNAL EKONOMI DAN BISNIS AIRLANGGA
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis, Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/jeba.V35I22025.333-343

Introduction: This study aims to examine the impact of trade liberalization on economic growth in Nigeria, considering different policy regimes from 1986 to 2022. The study seeks to assess how exchange rates, capital stock, and policy shifts influenced economic growth during the Structural Adjustment Program (SAP) era and the gradual trade liberalization period. Methods: The linear regression model was employed with data sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria publications and the National Bureau of Statistics. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is used to test variable stationarity, and the Markov Switching Regime model captures the effects of policy shifts on economic growth. Results: In the first regime (SAP era), exchange rate and capital stock had a significant positive impact on economic growth, while trade liberalization showed a negative but insignificant effect. In the second regime (gradual trade liberalization), capital stock maintained a positive effect, but both trade liberalization and exchange rates had a significant negative impact. Conclusion and suggestion: The findings suggest that trade liberalization has had a generally negative impact on Nigeria's economic growth, particularly during the gradual liberalization period. To promote growth, policymakers should reconsider the export promotion strategies that enhance domestic production.

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