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All Journal Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi
Antony, Mayes
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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PENGARUH HARGA KOMODITAS BAHAN POKOK TERHADAP INFLASI BARANG BERGEJOLAK (VOLATILE FOOD) DI KOTA PEKANBARU PERIODE 2019 Rafli, Hasan Andifa; Antony, Mayes; Rahmat, Richard
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 7, No 2 (2020): (Juli - Desember 2020)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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Abstract

This study aims to determine all the major effects of staple commodities on volatile food inflation in Pekanbaru City for the period of 2019. This study uses independent variables which consists of prices of rice, red chilies, shallots, sugar, cooking oil, chicken, beef, eggs, garlic and the dependent variable is volatile food inflation. The data used in this study are monthly data for the period 2019. The analysis method used descriptive quantitative and partial or simultaneous analysis with multiple linear regression with the OLS (Ordinary Least Square) approach which is processed by using E-Views version 10. The test results show that the prices of basic commodities simultaneously have a significant effect on volatile food inflation. Meanwhile, shallots have a positive effect and sugar has a negative and significant effect on volatile food inflation, rice has a positive effect, red chilies have a positive effect, cooking oil has a positive effect, chicken has a positive effect, beef has a positive effect, eggs have a negative effect, Garlic has a positive and insignificant effect on volatile food inflation. In addition, the value obtained from the adjusted R2 is 97.90%.Keywords: volatile food inflation, staple food commodity prices
HUBUNGAN KAUSALITAS ANTARA TINGKAT BUNGA, TINGKAT INFLASI DAN KURS DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010 - 2019 Ririn, Indria; Antony, Mayes; Rahmat, Richard
Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 7, No 2 (2020): (Juli - Desember 2020)
Publisher : Jurnal Online Mahasiswa (JOM) Bidang Ilmu Ekonomi

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This study aims to determine the causal relationship between the interest rate, the inflation rate and the exchange rate in Indonesia. This study uses secondary data obtained from the official website of Bank Indonesia, namely Indonesian Financial Economics Statistics (SEKI). The analytical method used is the Grenger causality analysis. In conducting the Grenger causality test using the help of the Eviews program, the data used in this study is the time series data per month in 2010 – 2019. Based on the results of the study, the results of the Granger causality test were obtained, during the observation period which included time vulnerability per month 2010 - 2019 showing that interest rates and inflation rates in Indonesia have a unidirectional causal relationship, namely interest rates that affect inflation, which means changes in interest rates can affect changes inflation. Interest rates and exchange rates in Indonesia have a unidirectional causality, namely the unidirectional influence of interest rates can affect exchange rate conditions, which means that interest rate movements can affect exchange rate conditions in Indonesia. However, there was no effect of exchange rate on interest rates. There is no causality relationship between the inflation rate and the exchange rate in Indonesia. Which means that there is no reciprocal relationship between the inflation rate and the exchange rate.Keywords: Bank Indonesia Interest Rates, Inflation, Exchange Rates, Grenger Causality
Co-Authors Rafli, Hasan Andifa Rahmat, Richard Ririn, Indria