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All Journal International Journal of Business, Management and Economics International Journal of Finance Research
T., Lakshmanasamy
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Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Bilateral Investment Treaty and Foreign Direct Investment in India: A Dynamic Panel GMM Estimation of Causal Effects T., Lakshmanasamy
International Journal of Business, Management and Economics Vol. 1 No. 2 (2020): International Journal of Business, Management and Economics
Publisher : Training & Research Institute - Jeramba Ilmu Sukses (TRI-JIS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47747/ijbme.v1i2.442

Abstract

India has one of the largest Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) networks with other counties around the world. The BITs is to promote foreign investment by increasing investor confidence, empowering individual private parties to take international arbitral proceedings against the threat of appropriation by the government of the host country. This paper analyses the effect of BITs on FDI inflows in India using panel data for 76 countries for the time period 2000-2016 applying a dynamic panel generalised method of moments instrumental variable estimation method. The differenced GMM and system GMM estimates show a significant negative effect of bilateral investment treaties on the FDI inflows in India. While the lagged FDI has a significant positive effect, the financial openness of the source nations is reducing FDI inflows to India. The POLCON index shows that the countries with lesser political constraints have positive FDI outflow towards India. As opposed to domestic variables, the Chinn-Ito and POLCON indices have a greater share of change in FDI inflows to India. It seems that the BITs is not efficient enough to create investor confidence to invest in India.
The Relationship Between Exchange Rate and Stock Market Volatilities in India: ARCH-GARCH Estimation of the Causal Effects` T., Lakshmanasamy
International Journal of Finance Research Vol. 2 No. 4 (2021): International Journal of Finance Research
Publisher : Training & Research Institute - Jeramba Ilmu Sukses (TRI-JIS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47747/ijfr.v2i4.443

Abstract

With increasing globalisation and integration of national stock exchanges, for the global investor, the portfolio risk increases not only from the local stock market volatility but also in the exchange rate risk. This paper examines the exchange rate volatility effect on volatility in stock market return from India’s perspective for the period January 2010 to December 2015, applying ARCH and GARCH estimation. The daily data of the BSE SENSEX returns, exchange rates of US dollar/rupee, British pound/rupee, Euros/rupee are used. It is estimated that the Euro/rupee exchange rate volatility has a significant positive effect on the BSE SENSEX return volatility, while the effect of the US dollar/rupee and British pound/rupee exchange rate the volatilities are insignificantly negative. The larger GARCH parameter over the ARCH term indicates that the own lagged values of the stock return cause more volatility in stock returns than the innovations. There exists a highly persistent effect of shocks to the BSE SENSEX return and the volatility effect wanes only slowly
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