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All Journal International Journal of Electrical and Computer Engineering Emitor: Jurnal Teknik Elektro J-Dinamika: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Journal FORTEI-JEERI JESCEE- Journal of Emerging Supply Chain, Clean Energy, and Process Engineering JEECS (Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences) AMMA : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat
Ismit Mado
Universitas Borneo Tarakan
Humanities Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mechanical Engineering Nursing

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Journal : Journal FORTEI-JEERI

 1 
Best Estimation Of Double Seasonal Pattern Electric Load Parameters Using Least Squares Method Ismit Mado
Journal FORTEI-JEERI Vol. 2 No. 1 (2021): FORTEI-JEERI
Publisher : Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Teknik Elektro Indonesia (FORTEI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46962/forteijeeri.v2i1.11

Abstract

Forecasting is an important tool in planning an effective and efficient use of electrical loads. This paper presents an improvement in parameter estimation from previous studies. The results of previous studies indicate that the DSARIMA model is with MAPE about 2.06 percent. This model produces white noise residuals, but not normally distributed, which is thought to be due to outliers. Data smoothing is done to get the best data pattern. The analysis results show that the AR parameter iteration of the best DSARIMA model that is appropriate for short-term forecasting is with MAPE about 1.56 percent.
Co-Authors Abdul Muis Prasetia, Abdul Muis Abil Huda Achmad Budiman Adi Soeprijanto Agustinus Rantepadang Asep Mahmudin Bahar Mahmud Budiman, Achmad Mus Muliadi Rusady, Rendy Ruslim Ruslim Sartika, Linda Subarianto Subarianto Suhartono Suhartono Zakaria