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All Journal Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business
Hayun Kusumah
Department Of Management, Faculty Of Economics And Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance

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Time-varying Integration of Stock Markets from Global and Regional Perspective in Asia-Pacific Hayun Kusumah; Marwan Asri; Kusdhianto Setiawan; Bowo Setiyono
Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan Vol 25, No 3 (2021): Juli 2021
Publisher : University of Merdeka Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v25i3.5822

Abstract

This study investigates the time-varying integration of stock markets from a global and regional perspective, the consequences of two major global financial crises, i.e., the Asian Financial Crisis and the subprime mortgage, and the Crisis triggered by COVID-19. We contribute to the growing amount of literature on market integration, especially on the role of regional to global market integration. Although regional integration encourages an acceleration of global integration, the effect of a regional factor is not uniform among regions. It is important to understand regional to global market integration and the consequences during the crises. This study employs time-series data from economic territories based on the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Asia-Pacific classification. It introduces an alternative measurement of time-varying integration by considering the correlation of regional and global markets using a simple international model, equivalent to the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). The result shows that the market integrations are time-varying both globally and regionally. The domestic markets are affected by the global market and its regional market, as the role of a regional market emerges during the financial crisis period. We find the different responses of stock markets during the Covid-19 period as a dominant factor to exacerbate the market return globally. In the long run, the upward trend for the regional market integration in both developed and emerging markets is inherent to the global market integration.DOI: 10.26905/jkdp.v25i3.5822
The Relationship between Asia Pacific Markets during the Financial Crisis: VAR-Granger Causality Analysis Hayun Kusumah; Marwan Asri; Kusdhianto Setiawan; Bowo Setiyono
Journal of Indonesian Economy and Business Vol 37 No 2 (2022): May
Publisher : Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (1873.476 KB) | DOI: 10.22146/jieb.v37i2.1474

Abstract

Introduction/Main Objectives: This study investigates the relationships between equity markets during the Asian financial crisis and the subprime mortgage crisis in Asia-Pacific. Background Problems: The advantages of market integration are under scrutiny in the midst of global financial crises, which have many implications for international asset pricing and regulators to develop strategies to protect economies. During the crises, the equity markets responded with different patterns, and it is important to understand in more detail the market relations during each crisis, especially for the less and more integrated markets. Novelty: We provide in-depth analysis to compare the market relationships during two extremely different financial crises originating from less integrated markets (i.e., emerging ones) and more integrated markets (i.e., developed ones), based on the prices which give a direct measurement and clear interpretation. This research provides a significant contribution by showing new findings in the form of a comparison of market relations during two extremely different crises in the Asia-Pacific region. Research Methods: This study employs time-series data from economic territories based on the Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Asia-Pacific classification and the United States. We conducted analysis using the vector autoregressive, Granger causality test, and impulse response, to point out the market relationships during the crises or turmoil periods. Finding/Results: The results show that the Asian financial crisis affected the emerging markets more and this indicates the unidirectional causality relationships among them. Meanwhile, the subprime mortgage crisis affected all the markets, but more indicated the bidirectional relationships, especially the developed markets. Conclusion: Although these two financial crises were global in nature, the effects on the region were different. The origin of the shock and the level of market integration affected the market relationships differently during the crises.
Co-Authors Kusdhianto Setiawan Marwan Asri Setiyono, Bowo