Ashintya Damayati
Program Pascasarjana Ilmu Ekonomi Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia

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Pengaruh Larangan Ekspor Bahan Baku terhadap Kinerja Perusahaan Rotan Indonesia Damayati, Ashintya; Nachrowi, Nachrowi D.
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia Vol. 14, No. 1
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This research analyzes the impacts of raw material export restriction on firm performance: value-added, labor, and productivity growth, as well as firm survival ability in the rattan-based final good industry in the 1995-2004 period, which are distinguished based on firm size. This study uses probit method for the survival model, and the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) for the growth model. Data obtained from Medium and Large Scale Industries Statistics (ISIC 33131 and 33212). The result shows that export restriction can improve survival ability of the medium and large-sized firm, and have a positive impact on value-added and labor growth of the medium-sized firm.
Kutukan Sumber Daya atau Katalis Kesejahteraan: Bagaimana Dampak Hilirisasi Nikel terhadap Kemiskinan di Sulawesi? Zufarulhaq, Muhammad Syafiq; Damayati, Ashintya
Jurnal Kebijakan Ekonomi
Publisher : UI Scholars Hub

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Abstract

This study evaluates the impact of nickel downstreaming on poverty levels in Sulawesi by examining the effectiveness of smelter development and the raw ore export ban policy as resource-based industrialization strategies. The primary contribution of this research lies in its identification strategy, which employs a staggered Difference-in-Differences approach with two-way fixed effects using panel data from 54 regencies/municipalities over the period 2010–2023. The baseline regression results show that the average effect of smelters is not statistically significant in reducing poverty. On the other hand, the raw mineral export ban policy is found to significantly reduce poverty. However, there is no evidence that this policy moderates or amplifies the effect of smelters on poverty. Nevertheless, the event study results reveal that the presence of smelters has a significant and consistent negative effect on poverty rates, emerging a few years after smelters begin operating—indicating that smelters contribute to poverty reduction in the medium term (delayed benefit). Nonetheless, it does not necessarily constitute a form of maslahah.