Raghu Bir Bista
Department of Economics, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal

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Measuring Determinants of Time Deposit in The Commercial Banks in Nepal Raghu Bir Bista; Priyanka Basnet
Quantitative Economics and Management Studies Vol. 3 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (554.67 KB) | DOI: 10.35877/454RI.qems721

Abstract

Time deposit is one of major source of liquidity of the commercial bank to maintain money supply to the demand of business and household sector. In this context, an interesting query is the determinants of time deposit. This paper measures the determinants of time deposit in the commercial banks of Nepal based on 15 years’ time series data sets from 2000-01 to 2017-18 of the sample commercial banks published by the central bank of Nepal. Using descriptive statistics and multiple regression models as the analytical tools, the paper has found fluctuating trend of liquidity in the commercial banks but inclining trend of external and internal variables including GDP, Deposit, Capital, Size of Bank, remittance and public debt. In this trend, the liquidity of the commercial banks depends significantly on time deposit and remittance inflow. Besides, the positive trend of time deposit from 1994-95 to 2017-18 has caused the positive trend of total deposit from 1994-95 to 2017-18. Additionally, the paper has found that GDP per capita, US exchange rate, interest rate and the branch of the bank are positively and significantly determinants to the time deposit of the commercial bank but inflation rate is negatively and determinant with significance. The internal variables are more determinants than the external variables to the time deposits. It is clear that time deposit is a reliable and long-term source to main the bank liquidity of the commercial bank for their financial stability and performance depends on more the internal variables than the external variables. Therefore, the commercial bank should reform as mentioned in the monetary policy and money market dynamics to improve the competitiveness and smartness of bank policy including interest rate policy and branch of the commercial banks for effective mobilization of the scattered small resources all over the country for higher rate of capital formation, investment, and economic growth
Assessing Multiplier Effects of Public Expenditures on Economic Growth in Nepal: SVAR Model Analysis Raghu Bir Bista; Kiran Prasad Sankhi
Quantitative Economics and Management Studies Vol. 3 No. 2 (2022)
Publisher : Yayasan Ahmar Cendekia Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (521.974 KB) | DOI: 10.35877/454RI.qems755

Abstract

This paper assesses the multiplier effects of public expenditures on economic growth in Nepal, covering time series data sets of public expenditures and economic growth from 1974-75 to 2018-19 by using the SVAR model. As a result of the SVAR model, the multiplier effect of public expenditure, recurrent expenditure, and capital expenditure is positive for economic growth. In a result, the multiplier effect of recurrent expenditure is found to be more promising than capital expenditure for economic growth in the short run, but in the long run, it is lower. Similarly, the multiplier coefficient value of capital expenditure is lower in the short run. This is probably due to leakages in the economy, corruption and improper management of development funds, seasonal expenditure trends, and poor management of development projects. Therefore, the government should improve the efficiency of public expenditure and the ratio of capital expenditure and private investment to improve the higher multiplier variable in the long run.