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All Journal Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics
Bayu Rhamadani Wicaksono
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Humanities Computer Science & IT Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences

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Indikator Ekonomi Subsektor Perikanan Tangkap Indonesia di Masa Pandemi Covid-19 Tahun 2020 Miko Novri Amandra; Bayu Rhamadani Wicaksono; Evita Choiriyah; Penny Wulandari
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2021 No 1 (2021): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2021
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (279.111 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.859

Abstract

The disruption of economic activities during the Covid-19 pandemic has caused the fisheries subsector in Indonesia, which is dominated by small scale fishers, to be vulnerable to poverty. A particular study is needed to measure the purchasing power of fishers through the fisher’s term of trade (NTN). The fluctuations of NTN can be affected by several factors, including the household consumption index (IKRT), the value of fisheries exports, and the increasing number of Covid-19 active cases. This study aims to measure the short-term and long-term effects of those factors on NTN during the Covid-19 pandemic and the speed of convergence of province’s NTN. The analysis used is dynamic panel data regression on monthly data 2020 from 34 provinces in Indonesia. This study shows that the value of fisheries exports has a short-term effect on NTN, while the increasing number of Covid-19 active cases has short-term and long-term effects on NTN. The NTN gaps between provinces is reduced by 17.21 percent per month and reaches half time convergence within 4 months.
Forecasting Produksi Kayu Bulat di Indonesia Aniisa Rizqi; Hanif Palupi; Novantia Novantia; Bayu Rhamadani Wicaksono; RR. Nila Indrasari
Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Vol 2022 No 1 (2022): Seminar Nasional Official Statistics 2022
Publisher : Politeknik Statistika STIS

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (296.4 KB) | DOI: 10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2022i1.1387

Abstract

For next 15 years, the SDGs aim to end poverty, hunger, and realize sustainable development in social, economic, and environmental dimensions. Indonesia that has production forests is an important contributor for the SDGs achievement, particularly in the economic (Goal 12) and environmental dimensions (Goal 15). The SDGs implementation was hampered by the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 so the Indonesian economic growth declined. On the other hand, the agriculture, forestry, and fisheries sectors continued to grow positively. Currently, SDGs are the main reference for determining national government programs and policies and data is the primary key for the government to achieve sustainable forestry. However, there is no data on the potential growth of Indonesian logs production so this study aims to forecasting logs production in Indonesia using ARIMA. The forecasting results with ARIMA (3,1,1) as the best ARIMA model show that the 2021Q1-2022Q4 data is slightly volatile with an upward trend.
Co-Authors Aniisa Rizqi Evita Choiriyah Hanif Palupi Miko Novri Amandra Novantia Novantia Penny Wulandari RR. Nila Indrasari