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PENGARUH PDB, INFLASI, KURS DAN TINGKAT SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP NERACA PERDAGANGAN INDONESIA Ilham Tri Murdo; Junaidi Affan
Kajian Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 16 No. 2 (2021)
Publisher : Jurnal Solusi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51277/keb.v16i2.102

Abstract

Abstract This study is to determine the extent to which the independent variable factors (GDP, Inflation, Exchange and Interest Rates) affect the dependent variable (Trade Balance) in the last 20 years. Quantitative research aims to obtain empirical evidence regarding the effect of the variables of GDP, Inflation, Exchange Rates and Interest Rates on the Trade Balance, and also to test hypotheses to strengthen or even reject the hypothesis. With the following results: GDP has a negative and insignificant effect on the Trade Balance, Inflation has a negative and significant effect on the Trade Balance, the Exchange Rate has no and no significant effect on the Trade Balance, Interest Rates have no and no significant effect on the Trade Balance and GDP, INflation , Exchange and Interest Rates together (simultaneously) have a significant and significant effect on the Trade Balance
EFFECTIVENESS OF USING CANDLESTICK PATTERN AND DIVERGENCE ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES IN READING FOREX MARKET PRICE MOVEMENTS Fajra Insani Kudadiri; Redy Herinanto Albertus; Junaidi Affan
Jurnal AKTUAL Vol 20, No 2 (2022): Jurnal AKTUAL
Publisher : STIE Trisna Negara OKU Timur

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47232/aktual.v20i2.263

Abstract

This study aims to determine the effectiveness of candlestick pattern signals and divergence signals in providing returns, and to compare the two signals in providing returns. The population in this study were the major currency pairs. The data used is secondary data taken from observations on forex market price movements from 2015 to 2019 totaling 100 data. Thestatistical tests used in this study are, the one sample t-test, and the independent t-test. The one sample t-test was used to test hypothesis 1 and hypothesis 2, while the independent t-test was used to test hypothesis 3. The results showed that: candlestick patterns in the majority of results show a positive and significance,  divergence in the majority of results shows a positive and significance, and comparison of divergences with candlestick patterns in the majority of results shows a negative and not significance. Based on the results of this study, the following conclusions are drawn: candlestick patterns are effective in providing returns, divergences are effective in providing returns, and candlestick patterns and divergences are no difference at providing returns.