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Dwiyan Panji Prastya
Departemen Ilmu Komputer / Informatika, Universitas Diponegoro
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Public Health Social Sciences

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IMPLEMENTASI METODE BACKPROPAGATION DAN INTERPOLASI DATA DALAM PERAMALAN HARGA DAGING SAPI DALAM NEGERI Dwiyan Panji Prastya; Retno Kusumaningrum
JURNAL LITBANG PROVINSI JAWA TENGAH Vol 14 No 2 (2016): Jurnal Litbang Provinsi Jawa Tengah
Publisher : Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan, Penelitian dan Pengembangan Daerah Provinsi Jawa Tengah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36762/jurnaljateng.v14i2.383

Abstract

Beef price forecasting is one of methods to overcome an unstable market price of beef. A forecast method that can be developed is Backpropagation. However, the method requires a high number of data to obtain optimal performance, which is contrary to the availability of observed data. Therefore, we proposed an interpolation technique to overcome incompatibility of data availability, i.e. granularity level of supporting data is in general, whereas granularity level of forecasting need is in detail. The experiments result that the best architecture of Backpropagation is 0.1 as momentum value, 0.01 as learning rate value, and 6 as hidden neuron size that produce 12% of MAPE's value or 88% of testing accuracy. At the same time, the ratio of beef price gap between the actual value and predicted value against the actual beef price is about 9%.
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