Atika Dinan
Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Negeri Jakarta, Indonesia

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Analisis Perdagangan Internasional Terhadap Siklus Bisnis di ASEAN-5 Periode 1999-2014 Atika Dinan; Haryo Kuncoro W.; Dicky Iranto
Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi Dan Bisnis (JPEB) Vol 5 No 2 (2017): Jurnal Pendidikan Ekonomi & Bisnis (DOAJ Indexed)
Publisher : Faculty of Economics, State University of Jakarta.

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (492.564 KB) | DOI: 10.21009/JPEB.005.2.1

Abstract

This research is aimed to analyze the effects of International Trade to Business Cycle in ASEAN-5. The data used in this research are the panel data in period of 1999 – 2014 and in five country in ASEAN (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Thailand). The The technique of data analysis in this research is Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (BVAR). Based on BVAR, the output has indicated the Openness to Trade and dummy Crisis are positively and significantly affected business cycles in ASEAN-5, and Intra Industry Trade is not affected to business cycles in ASEAN-5.