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All Journal JIMF (JURNAL ILMIAH MANAJEMEN FORKAMMA) Penentuan harga obligasi dan teori tingkat bunga JURNAL PEMASARAN KOMPETITIF DEDIKASI PKM Jurnal Ekonomi Efektif Indonesian Journal of Society Engagement (IJSE) Jurnal Arastirma International Journal of Management Science and Application Jurnal Konsisten
Andriyani Hapsari
Universitas Pamulang
Aerospace Engineering Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Automotive Engineering Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Social Sciences Other

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An Influence of Oil Prices and Inflation on Stock Price at Crude Oils Corp in 2012-2021 Andriyani Hapsari; Luthfia Nurul Khumaidah
International Journal of Management Science and Application Vol. 4 No. 1 (2025): IJMSA
Publisher : Sultan Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.58291/ijmsa.v4i1.359

Abstract

The research aims to find out and empirical evidence whether the oil price and inflation affects the stock price at Crude Oils Corp. in 2012-2021 as simultaneously and partially. This study uses quantitative methodology, with causality type. The sample used includes data from 2012 to 2021 on oil prices, inflation, and stock market at crude oils Corp. Data analysis uses multiple linear regression techniques with the support of IBM SPSS Ver25 program. In this study, the proceeds is reinforced by the results of the joint test of the two variables producing significance and also a strong contribution to the variable with a determination score of 79.3 percent. The highest influence on stock prices at Crude Oils Corp. is the inflation variable with a t-count of 5,524 while the oil price variable only produces a t-count of 2,627. Both variables above have significant positive results from the proceeds of the regression test. Companies can make policies when facing falling oil prices so that companies can still make a profit, then potential investors should use other information that can be used as a reference in making investment decisions, especially about Stock Price of Crude Oils.
Teori New Keynesian dan Relevansinya pada Makro Ekonomi Indonesia Ferry Setiawan; Andriyani Hapsari; Imam Primagratha
Jurnal Ekonomi Efektif Vol. 8 No. 2 (2026): JURNAL EKONOMI EFEKTIF
Publisher : Universitas Pamulang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32493/jee.v8i2.58237

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis relevansi Teori New Keynesian dalam menjelaskan dinamika makroekonomi Indonesia, khususnya terkait peran kebijakan moneter, kekakuan harga dan upah, serta ekspektasi inflasi. Berangkat dari kritik terhadap model makro yang sepenuhnya berorientasi ke depan, studi ini menekankan pentingnya friksi pasar dan rigiditas nominal dalam memengaruhi transmisi kebijakan moneter. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah pendekatan kuantitatif berbasis data sekunder periode 2014–2023 yang bersumber dari Bank Indonesia, Badan Pusat Statistik, dan Kementerian Keuangan. Analisis dilakukan menggunakan kerangka Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE), Vector Autoregression (VAR), serta estimasi New Keynesian Phillips Curve dan Taylor Rule. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan moneter Bank Indonesia memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap inflasi, meskipun transmisi kebijakan berlangsung tidak instan akibat kekakuan harga dan upah. Selain itu, ekspektasi inflasi terbukti berperan penting dalam menentukan dinamika inflasi aktual dan stabilitas makroekonomi. Temuan ini menegaskan bahwa kerangka New Keynesian relevan untuk menjelaskan dinamika makroekonomi Indonesia, serta menekankan pentingnya kredibilitas kebijakan, komunikasi moneter (forward guidance), dan koordinasi kebijakan fiskal–moneter dalam menjaga stabilitas ekonomi.
Co-Authors Arief Rachman Akbar Arief Rahman Akbar Bela Ayu Ningrum Ferry Setiawan Ilman Fernando Chaniago Imam Primagratha Luthfia Nurul Khumaidah mutawali, mutawali mutawali Nani Nani Vidya Amalia Rismanty